
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 90Michigan State | L 10–16 | -7.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 31ArmyCONF | L 7–24 | -13.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 114Florida International | W 38–20 | +6.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 77UConn | L 14–48 | -25.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs Wagner FCS | W 41–10 | +2.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 89North TexasCONF | L 37–41 | -10.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 72UTSACONF | L 24–38 | -11.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 80South FloridaCONF | L 21–44 | -28.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 7 | @ 79East CarolinaCONF | L 14–49 | -27.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 127TempleCONF | L 15–18 | -13.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 120CharlotteCONF | L 27–39 | -24.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 131TulsaCONF | W 63–16 | +17.9 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.4% | 106th | 40.0% | 46th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.8% | 108th | 42.9% | 61st |
| Passing success rate | 39.0% | 98th | 36.8% | 28th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 54th | 16.4% | 107th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 30th | 10.2% | 66th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 68th | 3.21 | 83rd |
| Opportunity rate | 38.7% | 60th | 38.4% | 73rd |
| Stuff rate | 16.9% | 70th | 15.3% | 89th |
| Sack rate | 7.5% | 111th | 4.0% | 113th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.3% | 121st | 40.5% | 75th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 116th | 60.6% | 61st |
| Havoc rate | 9.3% | 100th | 8.1% | 71st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.9 | 71st | 31.1 | 105th |
| Yards / game | 397.6 | 57th | 416.7 | 112th |
| Yards / play | 5.68 | 64th | 5.92 | 102nd |
| Pass yards / game | 208.6 | 91st | 224.8 | 99th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.15 | 78th | 7.40 | 81st |
| Completion % | 58.6% | 95th | 55.8% | 15th |
| Rush yards / game | 189.0 | 30th | 183.5 | 106th |
| Yards / carry | 4.95 | 30th | 4.89 | 106th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.6% | 116th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.67 | 104th | 1.42 | 121st |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.6 | 71st | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →