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American · 2026

Florida Atlantic Owls

Head coach Zach Kittley · Flagler Credit Union Stadium
5-32-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#99
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-9.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.9
62nd in FBS
Defense
-10.6
129th in FBS
Schedule so far
-8.9
98th toughest
Projected
6.3-5.7
bowl-eligible 79%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-9.8 now, -11.9 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#99

Final record odds

6.3-5.7 expected · most likely 6-6 (39%)
21%5-739%6-628%7-510%8-49-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Caden Veltkamp
QB · 4th in FBS
2534yds
23 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Ethan Ervin
RB · SO · 158th in FBS
369yds
91 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Easton Messer
WR · SR · 5th in FBS
891yds
72 rec · 9 TD
Tackles
Joseph Sipp Jr.
LB · SR · 119th in FBS
56tkl
1 TFL
Sacks
Josh Roberts
DE · SO · 309th in FBS
2sacks
4 hurries
Interceptions
Bo Simpson-Nealy
DB · SR · 49th in FBS
2INT
2 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@19FloridaL 21–66 ›-12.6—SEC Network
2Sep 12vs84NavyCONFW 38–30 ›-0.9—ESPNU
3Sep 19vs119Florida InternationalW 16–10 ›-12.4—ESPN+
4Sep 26@136UL MonroeW 45–17 ›+5.3—ESPN+
5Oct 3vsTexas Southern FCSW 66–10 ›-10.0—ESPN+
6—Bye
7Oct 17@76ArmyCONFL 24–56 ›-25.2—CBSSN
8Oct 24vs117RiceCONFW 51–49 ›-15.8—ESPNU
9Oct 29@56North TexasCONFL 41–48 ›+0.5—ESPN
10Nov 5vs70UTSACONFUTSA −6.5 · o/u 70.0—33%ESPN
11Nov 14@92TulsaCONFTulsa −6.9 · o/u 64.2—32%ESPN+
12Nov 21vs74South FloridaCONFSouth Florida −4.5 · o/u 60.6—38%
13Nov 27@83East CarolinaCONFEast Carolina −9.0 · o/u 60.3—27%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.22928th+0.274134th
Success rate46.9%30th44.4%112th
Explosiveness1.28554th1.524137th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.0%31st44.6%111th
Rushing success rate42.0%88th45.8%110th
Passing success rate50.7%14th42.8%96th
Explosive run rate7.7%134th17.1%127th
Explosive pass rate10.2%70th12.6%126th
Line yards / carry2.85115th3.1185th
Opportunity rate35.3%110th38.2%82nd
Stuff rate17.4%79th17.5%76th
Sack rate3.5%29th3.5%120th
3rd-down conversion55.4%6th43.7%112th
Red-zone TD rate64.0%60th71.4%120th
Havoc rate12.2%44th11.6%117th
Box score · season totals
Points / game37.814th35.8132nd
Yards / game440.025th468.0136th
Yards / play5.5478th6.92137th
Pass yards / game329.65th212.973rd
Yards / pass att.7.8051st8.31133rd
Completion %69.8%8th62.9%87th
Rush yards / game110.4121st255.1137th
Yards / carry3.10132nd6.22137th
3rd-down conv. %52.7%5th41.9%109th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1248th1.2558th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8864th1.00131st
Penalty yards / game59.382nd53.479th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.6
84th of 138
YAC per catch
4.6
117th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
82nd of 138
Shotgun
98%
21st of 138
No-huddle
98%
2nd of 138
QB pressured
11%
99th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
99th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.8
31st of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws323 throws charted

70% comp8.6 avg. depth4.6 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds24–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 28 throws (9%), 28 caught (100%), 208 yds, 7.4 per throw28100% · 208yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 31 throws (10%), 25 caught (81%), 149 yds, 4.8 per throw3181% · 149yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 35 throws (11%), 22 caught (63%), 212 yds, 6.1 per throw3563% · 212yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (4%), 7 caught (54%), 135 yds, 10.4 per throw1354% · 135yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 70 yds, 11.7 per throw667% · 70yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 3 caught (43%), 79 yds, 11.3 per throw743% · 79yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (2%), 2 caught (29%), 68 yds, 9.7 per throw729% · 68yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (2%), 6 caught (100%), 16 yds, 2.7 per throw6100% · 16yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 7 caught (78%), 55 yds, 6.1 per throw978% · 55yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (4%), 9 caught (69%), 84 yds, 6.5 per throw1369% · 84yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (4%), 7 caught (54%), 111 yds, 8.5 per throw1354% · 111yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (2%), 6 caught (75%), 116 yds, 14.5 per throw875% · 116yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (3%), 7 caught (70%), 229 yds, 22.9 per throw1070% · 229yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (2%), 3 caught (38%), 146 yds, 18.3 per throw838% · 146yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (7%), 17 caught (81%), 48 yds, 2.3 per throw2181% · 48yRight, 0–4 air yards: 33 throws (10%), 23 caught (70%), 156 yds, 4.7 per throw3370% · 156yRight, 5–9 air yards: 34 throws (11%), 27 caught (79%), 257 yds, 7.6 per throw3479% · 257yRight, 10–14 air yards: 18 throws (6%), 11 caught (61%), 135 yds, 7.5 per throw1861% · 135yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (3%), 6 caught (55%), 117 yds, 10.6 per throw1155% · 117yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (2%), 4 caught (50%), 102 yds, 12.8 per throw850% · 102yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 66 yds, 16.5 per throw450% · 66y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on194 throws charted

63% comp8.7 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds13–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (5%), 7 caught (78%), -2 yds, -0.2 per throw978% · -2yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 16 caught (84%), 126 yds, 6.6 per throw1984% · 126yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 8 caught (73%), 68 yds, 6.2 per throw1173% · 68yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 4 caught (44%), 76 yds, 8.4 per throw944% · 76yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 35 yds, 7.0 per throw540% · 35yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 132 yds, 22.0 per throw683% · 132yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 89 yds, 29.7 per throw367% · 89yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 21 yds, 5.3 per throw475% · 21yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 7 caught (64%), 36 yds, 3.3 per throw1164% · 36yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 5 caught (71%), 42 yds, 6.0 per throw771% · 42yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 34 yds, 6.8 per throw540% · 34yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 136 yds, 15.1 per throw967% · 136yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 5 caught (100%), 228 yds, 45.6 per throw5100% · 228yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 12 throws (6%), 11 caught (92%), 132 yds, 11.0 per throw1292% · 132yRight, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (14%), 22 caught (79%), 137 yds, 4.9 per throw2879% · 137yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (10%), 12 caught (63%), 111 yds, 5.8 per throw1963% · 111yRight, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (8%), 5 caught (33%), 78 yds, 5.2 per throw1533% · 78yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 1 caught (11%), 19 yds, 2.1 per throw911% · 19yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 2 caught (67%), 57 yds, 19.0 per throw367% · 57yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 63 yds, 21.0 per throw333% · 63y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction256 carries

Left
16%
4.6 YPC · 35% succ.
Middle
66%
4.1 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
18%
3.8 YPC · 38% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced314 carries

Left
22%
9.6 YPC · 54% succ.
Middle
61%
5.4 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
18%
6.6 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Zach Kittley

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
7Jordan MagwoodQBSO6' 0"205Tampa, FL
12Jeremiah DaoudQBFR6' 3"210Allen, TX
18Drew DevillierQBJR6' 5"230Plano, TX
5Leonard FarrowRBSR5' 10"195Mount Hope, WV
20Joshua HarriottRBSR5' 10"185Fort Lauderdale, FL
21Ethan ErvinRBSO6' 1"195Buford, GA
28Kaden Shields-DuttonRBJR5' 11"215Orlando, FL
33Almari BrownRBJR5' 7"171Lutz, FL
34Germanuel TanelusRBSR5' 10"210Fort Lauderdale, FL
0Branden HochWRSO6' 3"200Boca Raton, FL
3Tucker HollowayWRSR6' 2"190Andrews, NC
6RJ Garcia IIWRSR6' 0"180Tampa, FL
8Easton MesserWRSR5' 9"190Louisville, KY
9Dominique HenryWRSR5' 11"190Saint Augustine, FL
13Jahmari Powell-WonsonWRJR5' 11"195Baltimore, MD
17Nicsaint Joseph Jr.WRFR6' 2"165Miami, FL
26Chase HanningWRSR6' 3"200Boynton Beach, FL
80Grayson GibsonWRFR6' 3"195Orlando, FL
81Dyson SimsWRSO5' 8"160Ann Arbor, MI
82Dveyoun Bonwell-WitteWRFR6' 2"200Brandon, SD
83Spencer MartinWRFR6' 3"185Hinsdale, IL
1AJ JohnsonTESR6' 4"255Fort Lauderdale, FL
11Brooks JohnsonTESR6' 5"235Weddington, NC
86Owen PollockTEFR6' 4"245Sunbury, OH
87Peter CannonTEFR6' 4"235Orlando, FL
93Maika KurkowskiTESO6' 5"235Rockledge, FL
50Owen CheathamOLFR6' 6"265Durango, CO
51Aedyn BuchananOLFR6' 6"265Greensboro, NC
52Logan HusbandOLSO6' 4"295Fort Lauderdale, FL
55Rain BanickOLSO6' 5"300Lilburn, GA
57Ja'Kavion NonarOLSR6' 8"315Belle Glade, FL
58Aiden JonesOLJR6' 4"315Chester, VA
60Aqil Meredith-SmithOLSO6' 3"310Elizabeth, NJ
62Vincent FiacableOLSR6' 4"320Fort Wayne, IN
63JJ RochfordOLFR6' 3"315Lauderdale Lakes, FL
64Vincent ForneyOLJR6' 5"275Buford, GA
65Braden CunninghamOLJR6' 6"315Orange Park, FL
67Alejandro SchmittOLFR6' 6"305Pembroke Pines, FL
70Jaylen GambleOLSO6' 4"290Montgomery, AL
71Landon RapkiewiczOLSO6' 4"315Hobe Sound, FL
72Ovie DubreOLSR6' 4"325Powder Springs, GA
74Ben GallowayOLSR6' 4"310Powder Springs, GA
75Mauricio HindsOLJR6' 5"305Porters Lake, Canada
76Aiden FordOLSO6' 0"290Daytona Beach, FL
77Keon RoheOLJR6' 7"310Frankfurt, Germany
78Carson OsmusOLJR6' 6"303Camas, WA
1CJ Doggette Jr.DLSR6' 2"277Pickerington, OH
2Wilky DenaudDLSR6' 3"285Stuart, FL
14Tycoolhill LumanDLJR6' 3"264Montreal, Canada
56Gabriel BirnbaumDLJR6' 3"290Boca Raton, FL
62Enyce SledgeDLSR6' 3"320Monroe, LA
91Lebron EdmondDLJR6' 4"305Canton, MS
94Corey ClarkDLSR6' 4"310Birmingham, AL
95Nimari BrantleyDLSO6' 2"280Pompano Beach, FL
97Samuel BenoitDLSO6' 3"288Lake Worth, FL
98Blake BurrisDLSR6' 5"320Irving, TX
99Nate LovelaceDLFR6' 0"280Tampa, FL
5Deshaun BatisteDESR6' 3"258New Orleans, LA
9Jonathan BaxDESR6' 3"245New Orleans, LA
10Josh RobertsDESO6' 4"220Melbourne, FL
11Gavench MarcelinDEJR6' 3"260Homestead, FL
12Jay CrableDESR6' 3"240Massillon, OH
15Tyclean LumanDEJR6' 4"280Montreal, Canada
18Jackson ForteDESR6' 2"260Los Angeles, CA
31Kenyon GarnerDEJR6' 3"238Okeechobee, FL
44Roman Garcia IVDESR6' 2"260Wagoner, OK
55Alexander KocherDESR6' 5"250Pembroke Pines, FL
13Earl Miller Jr.DTSR6' 4"310Riviera Beach, FL
6Leon Hart Jr.LBSR6' 0"215Miami Gardens, FL
7Khmari JohnsonLBSR6' 1"220Memphis, TN
17Char'Quez LeeLBJR6' 2"215Miami, FL
18Joseph Sipp Jr.LBSR6' 0"220Tampa, FL
21Nate FischerLBJR6' 2"230Sammamish, WA
28Zyere HortonLBSR6' 3"225Alpharetta, GA
35Tito NunezLBJR6' 1"220Homestead, FL
40Josiah FarmerLBSO5' 11"195Ocala, FL
42Larry SpringLBFR6' 1"190Miami, FL
43Hector ChavezLBSO5' 10"215Miami, FL
0Damon AllenDBSO6' 1"200Belle Glade, FL
3Derrick RogersDBSR6' 1"175Orlando, FL
4Damarius McGheeDBSR6' 0"183Pensacola, FL
16Wallace Foster IVDBJR5' 10"175New Orleans, LA
19Tyson RooksDBSR6' 4"215Saint Simons Island, GA
20Bo Simpson-NealyDBSR5' 10"190Altamonte Springs, FL
23JK JohnsonDBSR6' 0"185St. Peters, MO
25Kam HerringDBJR6' 1"180Memphis, TN
26Amar ReynoldsDBJR6' 0"190Fort Pierce, FL
27Travis JacksonDBFR5' 11"180Wellington, FL
33Ja'Cari JacksonDBFR5' 11"190Orlando, FL
34Brenden GuidrozDBFR6' 2"175New Orleans, LA
36Darius SmithDBSO5' 10"180Riverview, FL
38Christopher Tank Jr.DBFR6' 2"180St. Petersburg, FL
39RJ LampkinDBSR6' 1"190Sunrise, FL
45Thomas JacksonDBJR5' 10"170Jacksonville, FL
22Jayden SweeneySSR5' 11"190Birmingham, AL
41Collin RogersPKSR6' 4"215Prattville, AL
96Lliam PetersonPKSO6' 1"180Naples, FL
49Alex GracePJR6' 4"200Cincinnati, OH
91Reed ChandleyPJR6' 1"205Canton, GA
45Walker AdkinsonLSSR6' 2"210Orlando, FL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (+7.3, #29) · worst: 2016 (-13.2, #124)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#110
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-32-2#99-9.8+0.9-10.6
20254-83-5#110-8.2+0.4-8.5
20243-91-7#117-9.6-4.8-4.8
20234-83-5#97-5.3-4.2-1.1
20225-74-4#83-3.6-2.0-1.6
20215-73-5#91-4.3-5.0+0.7
20205-44-2#81-2.2-7.2+5.0
201911-37-1#29+7.3+4.6+2.8
20185-73-5#76-0.6+1.8-2.4
201711-38-0#31+6.9+6.3+0.6
20163-92-6#124-13.2-4.4-8.8
20153-93-5#101-9.3-6.5-2.8
20143-92-6#98-7.6-5.3-2.3

Florida Atlantic's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →