
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 84Maryland | L 7–39 | -26.7 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Florida A&M FCS | W 56–14 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 104Florida International | L 28–38 | -13.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 48MemphisCONF | L 26–55 | -25.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 126RiceCONF | W 27–21 | -3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 125UABCONF | W 53–33 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 22South FloridaCONF | L 13–48 | -15.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 49NavyCONF | L 32–42 | -3.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 116TulsaCONF | W 40–21 | +5.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 41TulaneCONF | L 24–35 | -3.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 75UConn | L 45–48 | -7.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 37East CarolinaCONF | L 3–42 | -26.7 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.0% | 85th | 46.3% | 119th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.0% | 99th | 49.1% | 125th |
| Passing success rate | 42.6% | 55th | 43.1% | 97th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.9% | 68th | 15.9% | 113th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 69th | 12.5% | 120th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 98th | 3.37 | 125th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.3% | 111th | 40.2% | 100th |
| Stuff rate | 15.8% | 45th | 13.2% | 125th |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 23rd | 5.5% | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 64th | 46.4% | 117th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.6% | 115th | 61.9% | 95th |
| Havoc rate | 10.5% | 44th | 9.1% | 125th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.7 | 14th | 36.3 | 127th |
| Yards / game | 444.7 | 22nd | 436.5 | 130th |
| Yards / play | 5.56 | 65th | 5.82 | 109th |
| Pass yards / game | 340.2 | 1st | 220.8 | 97th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.01 | 77th | 7.63 | 105th |
| Completion % | 66.2% | 27th | 64.3% | 105th |
| Rush yards / game | 104.5 | 123rd | 201.3 | 126th |
| Yards / carry | 3.52 | 120th | 4.76 | 111th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.2% | 95th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.42 | 136th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.83 | 63rd | 1.83 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.0 | 79th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →