
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Bethune-Cookman FCS | W 42–9 | +2.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 18Penn State | L 0–34 | -14.5 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 110Florida Atlantic | W 38–28 | -1.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 112DelawareCONF | L 16–38 | -33.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 75UConn | L 10–51 | -28.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 14 | @ 78Western KentuckyCONF | W 25–6 | +19.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 21 | vs 88Kennesaw StateCONF | L 26–45 | -25.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Oct 29 | @ 108Missouri StateCONF | L 21–28 | -11.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 133Middle TennesseeCONF | W 56–30 | +12.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 101LibertyCONF | W 34–27 | -1.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 92Jacksonville StateCONF | W 27–21 | -1.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 134Sam HoustonCONF | W 56–16 | +15.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 56UTSANEUTRAL | L 20–57 | -26.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 99th | 43.3% | 82nd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.4% | 105th | 48.0% | 119th |
| Passing success rate | 39.9% | 85th | 39.1% | 47th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.9% | 47th | 19.3% | 134th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.8% | 115th | 9.4% | 55th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.06 | 65th | 3.41 | 129th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.1% | 64th | 44.0% | 131st |
| Stuff rate | 19.4% | 106th | 12.9% | 127th |
| Sack rate | 4.0% | 36th | 5.8% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.4% | 119th | 42.7% | 92nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 108th | 48.7% | 30th |
| Havoc rate | 13.0% | 103rd | 12.2% | 58th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.5 | 68th | 29.9 | 92nd |
| Yards / game | 397.0 | 58th | 411.5 | 110th |
| Yards / play | 5.50 | 71st | 5.72 | 98th |
| Pass yards / game | 215.4 | 87th | 235.5 | 119th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.53 | 104th | 7.09 | 67th |
| Completion % | 59.9% | 90th | 60.7% | 52nd |
| Rush yards / game | 181.6 | 36th | 161.6 | 85th |
| Yards / carry | 4.87 | 31st | 4.71 | 104th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.8% | 103rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 107th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 66th | 2.38 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.0 | 73rd | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →