
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Austin Peay FCS | L 14–34 | -44.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 72Wisconsin | L 10–42 | -24.6 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 121Nevada | W 14–13 | -7.4 | — | MWN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 81Marshall | L 28–42 | -19.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 88Kennesaw StateCONF | L 16–24 | -8.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 8 | vs 108Missouri StateCONF | L 20–22 | -12.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 22 | @ 112DelawareCONF | L 28–31 | -8.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Oct 29 | vs 92Jacksonville StateCONF | L 21–24 | -10.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 104Florida InternationalCONF | L 30–56 | -34.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 78Western KentuckyCONF | L 26–42 | -15.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 134Sam HoustonCONF | W 31–17 | -6.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 127New Mexico StateCONF | W 31–24 | -2.1 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 83rd | 43.9% | 89th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.8% | 41st | 42.8% | 62nd |
| Passing success rate | 39.5% | 90th | 45.0% | 117th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 51st | 12.5% | 46th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.8% | 99th | 12.3% | 118th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.23 | 35th | 2.78 | 22nd |
| Opportunity rate | 44.2% | 8th | 38.3% | 71st |
| Stuff rate | 18.0% | 80th | 19.7% | 31st |
| Sack rate | 5.7% | 84th | 5.3% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.1% | 97th | 41.2% | 70th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.1% | 87th | 69.0% | 123rd |
| Havoc rate | 13.1% | 108th | 14.4% | 12th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.4 | 111th | 30.9 | 100th |
| Yards / game | 371.6 | 81st | 399.3 | 95th |
| Yards / play | 5.27 | 88th | 5.72 | 97th |
| Pass yards / game | 266.1 | 25th | 243.5 | 124th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.39 | 113th | 8.22 | 123rd |
| Completion % | 59.6% | 91st | 64.4% | 107th |
| Rush yards / game | 105.5 | 121st | 143.1 | 57th |
| Yards / carry | 4.01 | 94th | 3.90 | 50th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.6% | 99th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 44th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.50 | 111th | 2.00 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 68.5 | 129th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →