The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 85Miami (OH) | W 17–0 | +11.4 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 133Middle Tennessee | W 42–10 | +9.3 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 15Alabama | L 14–38 | -9.7 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 84MarylandCONF | L 10–27 | -22.5 | — | NBC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 26MichiganCONF | L 10–24 | -3.3 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 14IowaCONF | L 0–37 | -19.8 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 0–34 | -9.1 | — | CBS |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 5OregonCONF | L 7–21 | +6.5 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 17WashingtonCONF | W 13–10 | +10.6 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 1IndianaCONF | L 7–31 | +2.2 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 27IllinoisCONF | W 27–10 | +21.7 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 63MinnesotaCONF | L 7–17 | -6.3 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.5% | 124th | 45.4% | 108th |
| Rushing success rate | 35.8% | 133rd | 44.8% | 83rd |
| Passing success rate | 37.4% | 106th | 45.8% | 121st |
| Explosive run rate | 9.0% | 130th | 11.7% | 33rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.4% | 133rd | 10.3% | 79th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 72nd | 2.88 | 37th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.6% | 119th | 38.8% | 83rd |
| Stuff rate | 16.0% | 50th | 18.7% | 43rd |
| Sack rate | 8.9% | 127th | 7.4% | 14th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.6% | 116th | 40.2% | 62nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.6% | 96th | 45.7% | 19th |
| Havoc rate | 14.1% | 119th | 11.0% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 12.8 | 135th | 21.6 | 31st |
| Yards / game | 253.1 | 135th | 323.5 | 24th |
| Yards / play | 4.21 | 134th | 5.19 | 51st |
| Pass yards / game | 136.4 | 132nd | 199.3 | 56th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.02 | 127th | 7.61 | 103rd |
| Completion % | 57.7% | 113th | 69.8% | 135th |
| Rush yards / game | 116.7 | 116th | 105.3 | 15th |
| Yards / carry | 3.31 | 127th | 3.40 | 18th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.3% | 125th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 97th | 2.67 | 20th |
| Penalty yards / game | 30.1 | 4th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →