
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 109Buffalo | W 23–10 | +2.6 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Northwestern State FCS | W 66–0 | +13.9 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 82California | L 14–27 | -12.8 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 65RutgersCONF | W 31–28 | +0.7 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 3–42 | -5.2 | — | NBC |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 100PurdueCONF | W 27–20 | -1.8 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 17 | vs 61NebraskaCONF | W 24–6 | +16.8 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 14IowaCONF | L 3–41 | -14.6 | — | CBS |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 83Michigan StateCONF | W 23–20 | -2.3 | — | BTN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 14 | @ 5OregonCONF | L 13–42 | -5.2 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 59NorthwesternCONF | L 35–38 | +1.5 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 72WisconsinCONF | W 17–7 | +6.6 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 74New MexicoNEUTRAL | W 20–17 | +1.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 101st | 44.3% | 98th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.0% | 123rd | 43.6% | 72nd |
| Passing success rate | 41.1% | 66th | 44.9% | 114th |
| Explosive run rate | 8.8% | 131st | 15.9% | 113th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.7% | 129th | 8.9% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.68 | 130th | 2.95 | 49th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.3% | 131st | 38.1% | 69th |
| Stuff rate | 19.0% | 103rd | 18.6% | 46th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 62nd | 9.1% | 3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.7% | 39th | 43.0% | 98th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.8% | 27th | 46.2% | 20th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 77th | 14.6% | 11th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.0 | 106th | 22.9 | 42nd |
| Yards / game | 293.1 | 129th | 331.6 | 34th |
| Yards / play | 4.77 | 120th | 5.18 | 50th |
| Pass yards / game | 189.9 | 102nd | 189.1 | 39th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.19 | 124th | 7.40 | 85th |
| Completion % | 62.9% | 60th | 67.0% | 126th |
| Rush yards / game | 103.2 | 128th | 121.1 | 27th |
| Yards / carry | 3.57 | 117th | 3.72 | 37th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.1% | 68th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.69 | 5th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 66th | 3.00 | 7th |
| Penalty yards / game | 31.2 | 5th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →