
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 67Western Michigan | W 23–6 | +14.5 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 94Boston College | W 42–40 | -5.8 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Youngstown State FCS | W 41–24 | -7.8 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 13USCCONF | L 31–45 | +0.6 | — | FOX |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 61NebraskaCONF | L 27–38 | -6.6 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 89UCLACONF | L 13–38 | -30.9 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 1IndianaCONF | L 13–38 | +1.9 | — | Peacock |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 26MichiganCONF | L 20–31 | -5.9 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 63MinnesotaCONF | L 20–23 | +0.7 | — | BTN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 18Penn StateCONF | L 10–28 | -10.6 | — | CBS |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 14IowaCONF | L 17–20 | +11.3 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 84MarylandCONFNEUTRAL | W 38–28 | +7.3 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 76th | 45.7% | 114th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.8% | 75th | 47.9% | 117th |
| Passing success rate | 41.0% | 67th | 43.7% | 105th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 39th | 13.7% | 68th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.4% | 121st | 9.7% | 63rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.77 | 124th | 2.99 | 63rd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 79th | 37.6% | 62nd |
| Stuff rate | 23.5% | 133rd | 15.7% | 94th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 114th | 5.4% | 76th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.7% | 104th | 42.8% | 96th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 24th | 62.2% | 97th |
| Havoc rate | 15.5% | 129th | 10.2% | 107th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.3 | 80th | 29.9 | 93rd |
| Yards / game | 345.5 | 99th | 378.7 | 72nd |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 97th | 5.80 | 107th |
| Pass yards / game | 222.7 | 70th | 220.6 | 96th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.07 | 74th | 7.56 | 102nd |
| Completion % | 63.5% | 53rd | 65.9% | 116th |
| Rush yards / game | 122.8 | 110th | 147.3 | 65th |
| Yards / carry | 3.78 | 104th | 4.49 | 89th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.6% | 110th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.08 | 124th | 1.83 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.3 | 30th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →