The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 74New Mexico | W 34–17 | +13.1 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 21Oklahoma | L 13–24 | +1.2 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 96Central Michigan | W 63–3 | +28.1 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 61NebraskaCONF | W 30–27 | +7.4 | — | CBS |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 72WisconsinCONF | W 24–10 | +10.6 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 13USCCONF | L 13–31 | -3.4 | — | NBC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 17WashingtonCONF | W 24–7 | +24.6 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 83Michigan StateCONF | W 31–20 | +11.2 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 100PurdueCONF | W 21–16 | -3.8 | — | BTN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 59NorthwesternCONF | W 24–22 | +6.5 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 84MarylandCONF | W 45–20 | +24.4 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 9–27 | +0.4 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 16TexasNEUTRAL | L 27–41 | -3.2 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.2% | 43rd | 43.1% | 79th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.3% | 15th | 42.0% | 56th |
| Passing success rate | 40.4% | 77th | 44.1% | 107th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.8% | 50th | 11.3% | 27th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 45th | 9.3% | 52nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.41 | 13th | 2.77 | 20th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 16th | 33.2% | 18th |
| Stuff rate | 12.6% | 9th | 16.9% | 73rd |
| Sack rate | 5.6% | 81st | 6.2% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.8% | 33rd | 39.6% | 55th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.3% | 84th | 50.0% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 15th | 12.3% | 57th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.5 | 77th | 20.4 | 25th |
| Yards / game | 396.9 | 59th | 323.3 | 23rd |
| Yards / play | 5.98 | 31st | 4.77 | 26th |
| Pass yards / game | 186.8 | 107th | 193.0 | 47th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.14 | 70th | 6.45 | 31st |
| Completion % | 59.4% | 94th | 63.6% | 93rd |
| Rush yards / game | 210.2 | 14th | 111.9 | 19th |
| Yards / carry | 5.44 | 12th | 3.41 | 19th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.6% | 33rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 74th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.62 | 44th | 2.15 | 58th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.1 | 15th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →