The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 132Ball State | W 31–0 | +9.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Southern Illinois FCS | W 34–17 | -7.8 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 13USCCONF | L 17–33 | -7.0 | — | CBS |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 3Notre Dame | L 30–56 | -1.7 | — | NBC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 27IllinoisCONF | L 27–43 | -11.3 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 63MinnesotaCONF | L 20–27 | -3.3 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 59NorthwesternCONF | L 0–19 | -14.5 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 65RutgersCONF | L 24–27 | -5.3 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 26MichiganCONF | L 16–21 | +5.7 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 10–34 | -5.6 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 17WashingtonCONF | L 13–49 | -15.0 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 1IndianaCONF | L 3–56 | -13.5 | — | NBC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.3% | 60th | 48.6% | 130th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.4% | 64th | 49.3% | 126th |
| Passing success rate | 42.4% | 56th | 47.7% | 129th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 51st | 16.4% | 121st |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.4% | 108th | 13.8% | 128th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.08 | 62nd | 3.37 | 121st |
| Opportunity rate | 40.7% | 44th | 41.2% | 113th |
| Stuff rate | 17.2% | 69th | 17.2% | 67th |
| Sack rate | 4.0% | 36th | 6.3% | 41st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.3% | 55th | 47.2% | 124th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 108th | 50.0% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 10.2% | 33rd | 10.0% | 115th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 18.8 | 125th | 31.8 | 105th |
| Yards / game | 343.6 | 102nd | 423.5 | 120th |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 96th | 6.38 | 131st |
| Pass yards / game | 217.2 | 81st | 229.3 | 112th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.43 | 109th | 9.29 | 134th |
| Completion % | 58.8% | 102nd | 64.7% | 108th |
| Rush yards / game | 126.4 | 103rd | 181.8 | 112th |
| Yards / carry | 4.04 | 92nd | 4.73 | 107th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.6% | 83rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 118th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 38th | 2.00 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.8 | 37th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →