The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 68Ohio | W 34–31 | +0.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 85Miami (OH) | W 45–17 | +19.8 | — | Peacock |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Norfolk State FCS | W 60–10 | +8.3 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 19 | vs 14IowaCONF | L 28–38 | -1.3 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 63MinnesotaCONF | L 28–31 | +0.7 | — | BTN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 10 | @ 17WashingtonCONF | L 19–38 | -5.8 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 5OregonCONF | L 10–56 | -16.8 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 100PurdueCONF | W 27–24 | -0.2 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 27IllinoisCONF | L 13–35 | -11.7 | — | NBC |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 84MarylandCONF | W 35–20 | +9.5 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 9–42 | -3.1 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 18Penn StateCONF | L 36–40 | +3.4 | — | BTN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.8% | 25th | 47.9% | 127th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.4% | 45th | 46.9% | 112th |
| Passing success rate | 47.2% | 19th | 48.9% | 132nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 82nd | 20.2% | 135th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.3% | 64th | 13.7% | 127th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.08 | 61st | 3.22 | 107th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.3% | 82nd | 43.3% | 126th |
| Stuff rate | 14.7% | 36th | 17.9% | 58th |
| Sack rate | 8.2% | 121st | 3.5% | 126th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.8% | 43rd | 41.5% | 75th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.2% | 85th | 69.8% | 126th |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 93rd | 11.0% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.7 | 67th | 31.8 | 105th |
| Yards / game | 407.1 | 44th | 432.8 | 127th |
| Yards / play | 5.53 | 67th | 7.48 | 136th |
| Pass yards / game | 266.1 | 25th | 217.4 | 94th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.43 | 19th | 8.57 | 130th |
| Completion % | 61.7% | 69th | 65.4% | 111th |
| Rush yards / game | 141.0 | 84th | 209.9 | 131st |
| Yards / carry | 3.63 | 112th | 6.79 | 136th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.5% | 40th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.17 | 125th | 0.92 | 135th |
| Penalty yards / game | 32.6 | 7th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →