Final TDC rank
#17
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+10.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.3
22nd in FBS
Defense
+5.1
20th in FBS
Schedule
+1.2
45th toughest
Preseason
+1.1
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+10.4 now, +1.1 preseason · up 36 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 123Colorado State | W 38–21 | +2.9 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs UC Davis FCS | W 70–10 | +11.8 | — | BTN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 50Washington State | W 59–24 | +33.9 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 6–24 | +0.4 | — | CBS |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 84MarylandCONF | W 24–20 | +4.1 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 65RutgersCONF | W 38–19 | +16.7 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 26MichiganCONF | L 7–24 | -6.3 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 27IllinoisCONF | W 42–25 | +21.7 | — | BTN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 72WisconsinCONF | L 10–13 | -0.8 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 100PurdueCONF | W 49–13 | +19.4 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 89UCLACONF | W 48–14 | +26.5 | — | NBC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 5OregonCONF | L 14–26 | +2.9 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 13 | vs 46Boise StateNEUTRAL | W 38–10 | +29.1 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.6% | 7th | 39.8% | 36th |
| Rushing success rate | 50.3% | 12th | 39.3% | 22nd |
| Passing success rate | 51.0% | 7th | 40.2% | 59th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.3% | 17th | 9.7% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.6% | 19th | 7.3% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.32 | 25th | 2.98 | 58th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.2% | 36th | 33.6% | 21st |
| Stuff rate | 16.2% | 55th | 14.2% | 115th |
| Sack rate | 6.6% | 99th | 4.4% | 110th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 51.1% | 9th | 42.5% | 88th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.0% | 59th | 44.4% | 16th |
| Havoc rate | 10.4% | 40th | 10.1% | 112th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.1 | 20th | 18.7 | 13th |
| Yards / game | 409.9 | 39th | 311.4 | 21st |
| Yards / play | 6.13 | 24th | 4.65 | 18th |
| Pass yards / game | 244.5 | 52nd | 199.5 | 57th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.59 | 16th | 6.13 | 18th |
| Completion % | 68.9% | 9th | 60.0% | 43rd |
| Rush yards / game | 165.5 | 58th | 100.1 | 11th |
| Yards / carry | 4.62 | 44th | 3.27 | 15th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.3% | 9th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 38th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.62 | 116th | 1.85 | 86th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.3 | 74th | — | — |
Players
58 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
58 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →