9-56-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#46
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+3.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.3
43rd in FBS
Defense
+1.4
53rd in FBS
Schedule
-1.4
70th toughest
Preseason
+5.4
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+3.7 now, +5.4 preseason · down 31 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | @ 22South Florida | L 7–34 | -13.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 5 | vs Eastern Washington FCS | W 51–14 | +3.7 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 95Air ForceCONF | W 49–37 | +9.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 115App State | W 47–14 | +15.4 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 3Notre Dame | L 7–28 | +2.0 | — | NBC |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 74New MexicoCONF | W 41–25 | +12.1 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 64UNLVCONF | W 56–31 | +22.3 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 24 | @ 121NevadaCONF | W 24–3 | +12.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 73Fresno StateCONF | L 7–30 | -26.6 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 54San Diego StateCONF | L 7–17 | -4.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 123Colorado StateCONF | W 49–21 | +11.3 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 79Utah StateCONF | W 25–24 | +1.5 | — | CBS |
| 15 | Dec 5 | vs64UNLV | W 38–21 | +15.0 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 13 | vs 17WashingtonNEUTRAL | L 10–38 | -15.0 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.2% | 80th | 36.6% | 13th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.7% | 77th | 40.3% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 71st | 32.6% | 6th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.6% | 97th | 17.3% | 129th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.8% | 77th | 9.7% | 63rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.25 | 33rd | 2.98 | 57th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.5% | 97th | 37.0% | 52nd |
| Stuff rate | 13.7% | 22nd | 19.1% | 36th |
| Sack rate | 4.7% | 54th | 5.6% | 68th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.3% | 21st | 37.2% | 41st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 79.1% | 3rd | 78.9% | 136th |
| Havoc rate | 10.4% | 40th | 12.8% | 41st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.9 | 60th | 32.1 | 109th |
| Yards / game | 424.0 | 24th | 337.6 | 39th |
| Yards / play | 5.64 | 57th | 5.26 | 56th |
| Pass yards / game | 244.9 | 51st | 163.1 | 16th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.26 | 65th | 6.16 | 19th |
| Completion % | 58.0% | 109th | 54.4% | 8th |
| Rush yards / game | 179.1 | 37th | 162.1 | 86th |
| Yards / carry | 4.52 | 57th | 4.80 | 113th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.6% | 28th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 95th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.86 | 73rd | 1.93 | 79th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.4 | 94th | — | — |
Players
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
61 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →