
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Stony Brook FCS | W 42–0 | +5.5 | — | MWN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 50Washington State | L 13–36 | -16.9 | — | CW |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 82California | W 34–0 | +22.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 119Northern Illinois | W 6–3 | -5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 3 | vs 123Colorado StateCONF | W 45–24 | +6.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 121NevadaCONF | W 44–10 | +19.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 73Fresno StateCONF | W 23–0 | +25.0 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 114WyomingCONF | W 24–7 | +5.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 77Hawai'iCONF | L 6–38 | -25.8 | — | MWN App |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 46Boise StateCONF | W 17–7 | +10.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 122San José StateCONF | W 25–3 | +7.9 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 74New MexicoCONF | L 17–23 | -4.3 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 23North TexasNEUTRAL | L 47–49 | +6.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.2% | 80th | 35.2% | 7th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.1% | 49th | 38.2% | 13th |
| Passing success rate | 35.8% | 120th | 32.4% | 5th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.5% | 56th | 10.8% | 21st |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 73rd | 5.1% | 2nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.38 | 17th | 3.01 | 68th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.0% | 40th | 35.7% | 36th |
| Stuff rate | 13.6% | 17th | 16.1% | 84th |
| Sack rate | 4.4% | 49th | 6.1% | 50th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.7% | 128th | 34.3% | 16th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.1% | 55th | 44.0% | 14th |
| Havoc rate | 10.2% | 33rd | 11.4% | 77th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.5 | 86th | 15.4 | 6th |
| Yards / game | 356.4 | 91st | 293.7 | 11th |
| Yards / play | 5.40 | 78th | 4.21 | 5th |
| Pass yards / game | 157.7 | 125th | 145.6 | 6th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.09 | 72nd | 5.12 | 1st |
| Completion % | 57.4% | 115th | 53.5% | 5th |
| Rush yards / game | 198.7 | 19th | 129.5 | 39th |
| Yards / carry | 4.69 | 40th | 3.68 | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 31.4% | 130th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.38 | 24th | 2.46 | 33rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.9 | 78th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →