Mountain West · 2025 · Final

San Diego State Aztecs 2025

9-46-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#54
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+2.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.8
95th in FBS
Defense
+5.2
19th in FBS
Schedule
-5.1
101st toughest
Preseason
-6.2
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.4 now, -6.2 preseason · up 70 spots since preseason
-10-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#54

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 28vsStony Brook FCSW 42–0+5.5—MWN
2Sep 6@50Washington StateL 13–36-16.9—CW
3—Bye
4Sep 20vs82CaliforniaW 34–0+22.1—CBSSN
5Sep 27@119Northern IllinoisW 6–3-5.1—ESPN+
6Oct 3vs123Colorado StateCONFW 45–24+6.9—CBSSN
7Oct 11@121NevadaCONFW 44–10+19.1—CBSSN
8—Bye
9Oct 25@73Fresno StateCONFW 23–0+25.0—FS1
10Nov 1vs114WyomingCONFW 24–7+5.4—CBSSN
11Nov 8@77Hawai'iCONFL 6–38-25.8—MWN App
12Nov 15vs46Boise StateCONFW 17–7+10.9—CBSSN
13Nov 22vs122San José StateCONFW 25–3+7.9—FS1
14Nov 28@74New MexicoCONFL 17–23-4.3—CBSSN
BowlsDec 27vs23North TexasNEUTRALL 47–49+6.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.2%80th35.2%7th
Rushing success rate46.1%49th38.2%13th
Passing success rate35.8%120th32.4%5th
Explosive run rate14.5%56th10.8%21st
Explosive pass rate9.9%73rd5.1%2nd
Line yards / carry3.3817th3.0168th
Opportunity rate41.0%40th35.7%36th
Stuff rate13.6%17th16.1%84th
Sack rate4.4%49th6.1%50th
3rd-down conversion32.7%128th34.3%16th
Red-zone TD rate61.1%55th44.0%14th
Havoc rate10.2%33rd11.4%77th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.586th15.46th
Yards / game356.491st293.711th
Yards / play5.4078th4.215th
Pass yards / game157.7125th145.66th
Yards / pass att.7.0972nd5.121st
Completion %57.4%115th53.5%5th
Rush yards / game198.719th129.539th
Yards / carry4.6940th3.6833rd
3rd-down conv. %31.4%130th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1550th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3824th2.4633rd
Penalty yards / game55.978th——

Players

68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

68 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →