
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Lamar FCS | W 51–0 | +8.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 67Western Michigan | W 33–30 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 50Washington State | W 59–10 | +33.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 69ArmyCONF | W 45–38 | +9.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 107South Alabama | W 36–22 | +4.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 22South FloridaCONF | L 36–63 | -18.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 56UTSACONF | W 55–17 | +28.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 24 | @ 135CharlotteCONF | W 54–20 | +12.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 49NavyCONF | W 31–17 | +14.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 125UABCONF | W 53–24 | +16.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 126RiceCONF | W 56–24 | +17.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 99TempleCONF | W 52–25 | +16.3 | — | ESPN |
| 15 | Dec 5 | @ 41Tulane | L 21–34 | -5.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 54San Diego StateNEUTRAL | W 49–47 | +4.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.8% | 4th | 44.8% | 100th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.4% | 4th | 49.9% | 128th |
| Passing success rate | 50.3% | 8th | 37.2% | 29th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.7% | 6th | 12.6% | 48th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.3% | 9th | 7.0% | 7th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.61 | 3rd | 3.40 | 128th |
| Opportunity rate | 46.6% | 4th | 44.1% | 132nd |
| Stuff rate | 12.0% | 7th | 11.8% | 132nd |
| Sack rate | 3.8% | 27th | 4.1% | 116th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.8% | 33rd | 46.2% | 115th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 71.6% | 16th | 68.2% | 119th |
| Havoc rate | 8.5% | 7th | 9.6% | 118th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 52.9 | 2nd | 26.5 | 66th |
| Yards / game | 512.4 | 1st | 381.9 | 77th |
| Yards / play | 7.10 | 3rd | 5.24 | 54th |
| Pass yards / game | 318.0 | 2nd | 155.8 | 12th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.37 | 4th | 6.00 | 10th |
| Completion % | 68.4% | 12th | 56.2% | 17th |
| Rush yards / game | 194.4 | 25th | 215.7 | 132nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.26 | 17th | 4.97 | 121st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.2% | 22nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.36 | 81st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.29 | 19th | 1.71 | 99th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.5 | 33rd | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →