Final TDC rank
#56
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+2.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.1
25th in FBS
Defense
-2.9
89th in FBS
Schedule
-2.6
78th toughest
Preseason
+0.1
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+2.2 now, +0.1 preseason · up 13 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 10Texas A&M | L 24–42 | -2.3 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 62Texas State | L 36–43 | -8.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Incarnate Word FCS | W 48–20 | +0.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 123Colorado State | W 17–16 | -7.5 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 99TempleCONF | L 21–27 | -9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 126RiceCONF | W 61–13 | +17.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 23North TexasCONF | L 17–55 | -17.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 30 | vs 41TulaneCONF | W 48–26 | +23.8 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 6 | @ 22South FloridaCONF | L 23–55 | -14.7 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 135CharlotteCONF | W 28–7 | +5.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 37East CarolinaCONF | W 58–24 | +30.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 69ArmyCONF | L 24–27 | -5.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 104Florida InternationalNEUTRAL | W 57–20 | +22.0 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.3% | 33rd | 39.3% | 30th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.2% | 48th | 40.4% | 41st |
| Passing success rate | 46.4% | 23rd | 38.2% | 35th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.7% | 33rd | 12.6% | 48th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.2% | 65th | 11.6% | 111th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.88 | 106th | 2.90 | 39th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.9% | 53rd | 37.7% | 63rd |
| Stuff rate | 19.2% | 104th | 18.3% | 51st |
| Sack rate | 3.8% | 27th | 6.1% | 50th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.0% | 32nd | 36.6% | 30th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.1% | 70th | 52.9% | 45th |
| Havoc rate | 10.4% | 40th | 12.7% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 43.9 | 5th | 31.3 | 102nd |
| Yards / game | 418.8 | 28th | 372.3 | 65th |
| Yards / play | 5.96 | 33rd | 5.52 | 83rd |
| Pass yards / game | 247.6 | 46th | 210.0 | 71st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.18 | 68th | 7.35 | 82nd |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 20th | 59.9% | 41st |
| Rush yards / game | 171.2 | 53rd | 149.6 | 71st |
| Yards / carry | 5.01 | 27th | 4.25 | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.7% | 71st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 18th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.62 | 44th | 1.92 | 80th |
| Penalty yards / game | 68.7 | 130th | — | — |
Players
76 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
76 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →