
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 17Washington | L 21–38 | -3.8 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Northern Colorado FCS | W 21–17 | -20.8 | — | MWN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 56UTSA | L 16–17 | -1.6 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 50Washington State | L 3–20 | -16.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 3 | @ 54San Diego StateCONF | L 24–45 | -15.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 73Fresno StateCONF | W 49–21 | +21.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 77Hawai'iCONF | L 19–31 | -16.5 | — | MWN App |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 114WyomingCONF | L 0–28 | -31.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 64UNLVCONF | L 10–42 | -28.8 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 74New MexicoCONF | L 17–20 | -1.3 | — | MWN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 46Boise StateCONF | L 21–49 | -18.9 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 95Air ForceCONF | L 21–42 | -29.0 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 101st | 46.0% | 116th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.1% | 86th | 46.4% | 106th |
| Passing success rate | 37.1% | 108th | 45.4% | 118th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 94th | 12.9% | 54th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.9% | 127th | 12.8% | 122nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.07 | 64th | 3.31 | 117th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.1% | 64th | 37.7% | 63rd |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 81st | 13.3% | 124th |
| Sack rate | 7.2% | 111th | 4.9% | 98th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.5% | 118th | 50.0% | 133rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 71.4% | 17th | 68.3% | 120th |
| Havoc rate | 12.3% | 91st | 7.4% | 135th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 18.7 | 126th | 30.8 | 98th |
| Yards / game | 324.2 | 117th | 426.0 | 124th |
| Yards / play | 4.93 | 112th | 6.14 | 124th |
| Pass yards / game | 215.9 | 86th | 213.0 | 82nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.58 | 99th | 8.16 | 120th |
| Completion % | 61.7% | 70th | 63.1% | 83rd |
| Rush yards / game | 108.3 | 120th | 204.9 | 127th |
| Yards / carry | 3.58 | 114th | 5.01 | 123rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.9% | 123rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 113th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.67 | 118th | 1.33 | 121st |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.3 | 82nd | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →