9-45-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#77
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-1.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.3
70th in FBS
Defense
-1.4
78th in FBS
Schedule
-5.8
114th toughest
Preseason
-3.9
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-1.8 now, -3.9 preseason · up 31 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | vs 93Stanford | W 23–20 | -4.5 | — | CBS |
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 29Arizona | L 6–40 | -17.5 | — | TNT |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 134Sam Houston | W 37–20 | -3.0 | — | MWN App |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Portland State FCS | W 23–3 | -4.8 | — | Scripps Sports |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 73Fresno StateCONF | L 21–23 | -5.6 | — | Scripps Sports |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 95Air ForceCONF | W 44–35 | +6.6 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 79Utah StateCONF | W 44–26 | +12.9 | — | MWN App |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 123Colorado StateCONF | W 31–19 | +3.5 | — | MWN App |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 122San José StateCONF | L 38–45 | -15.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 54San Diego StateCONF | W 38–6 | +26.4 | — | MWN App |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 21 | @ 64UNLVCONF | L 10–38 | -21.8 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 114WyomingCONF | W 27–7 | +8.4 | — | Scripps Sports |
| Bowls | Dec 24 | vs 82California | W 35–31 | -1.4 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.7% | 91st | 41.7% | 65th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.8% | 116th | 43.3% | 70th |
| Passing success rate | 43.4% | 46th | 40.4% | 60th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.2% | 108th | 14.5% | 79th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.9% | 97th | 11.2% | 102nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.91 | 99th | 3.29 | 112th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.5% | 70th | 41.0% | 110th |
| Stuff rate | 18.9% | 101st | 14.5% | 110th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 57th | 6.3% | 41st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.5% | 15th | 37.9% | 46th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.2% | 43rd | 59.5% | 86th |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 15th | 11.0% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.5 | 44th | 24.2 | 56th |
| Yards / game | 393.8 | 63rd | 361.0 | 61st |
| Yards / play | 5.42 | 75th | 5.56 | 86th |
| Pass yards / game | 290.6 | 8th | 211.2 | 74th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.00 | 79th | 7.50 | 93rd |
| Completion % | 64.8% | 40th | 59.4% | 36th |
| Rush yards / game | 103.2 | 129th | 133.8 | 44th |
| Yards / carry | 3.60 | 113th | 4.15 | 66th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.0% | 29th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 83rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.38 | 103rd | 2.38 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 65.8 | 122nd | — | — |
Players
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
67 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →