Mountain West · 2025 · Final

Fresno State Bulldogs 2025

9-45-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#73
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-0.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.3
98th in FBS
Defense
+2.5
45th in FBS
Schedule
-6.2
118th toughest
Preseason
-1.7
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-0.8 now, -1.7 preseason · up 13 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#73

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 23@60KansasL 7–31-19.6—FOX
1Aug 30vs98Georgia SouthernW 42–14+16.7—FS1
2Sep 6@118Oregon StateW 36–27+1.2—CW
3Sep 13vsSouthern FCSW 56–7+7.9—MWN
4Sep 20@77Hawai'iCONFW 23–21+3.0—Scripps Sports
5—Bye
6Oct 4vs121NevadaCONFW 20–17-11.0—CBSSN
7Oct 10@123Colorado StateCONFL 21–49-33.9—CBSSN
8—Bye
9Oct 25vs54San Diego StateCONFL 0–23-23.4—FS1
10Nov 1@46Boise StateCONFW 30–7+29.5—FS1
11—Bye
12Nov 15vs114WyomingCONFW 24–3+9.4—FS1
13Nov 22vs79Utah StateCONFL 17–28-16.1—CBSSN
14Nov 29@122San José StateCONFW 41–14+16.5—FS1
BowlsDec 27vs85Miami (OH)NEUTRALW 18–3+12.2—CW

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.4%109th38.9%25th
Rushing success rate38.5%118th43.7%73rd
Passing success rate40.4%77th34.2%12th
Explosive run rate12.7%94th13.4%62nd
Explosive pass rate7.5%120th6.8%6th
Line yards / carry2.9592nd3.1289th
Opportunity rate35.3%111th41.5%115th
Stuff rate18.4%88th18.6%46th
Sack rate3.6%23rd5.6%68th
3rd-down conversion40.5%76th39.2%52nd
Red-zone TD rate47.6%115th69.0%123rd
Havoc rate12.7%100th13.5%27th
Box score · season totals
Points / game25.889th21.230th
Yards / game353.993rd285.710th
Yards / play5.2393rd4.5615th
Pass yards / game183.4112th142.14th
Yards / pass att.6.39112th5.433rd
Completion %64.1%45th53.8%6th
Rush yards / game170.554th131.941st
Yards / carry4.5454th4.0660th
3rd-down conv. %36.4%100th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.54101st——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.4629th1.9280th
Penalty yards / game60.699th——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →