
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | @ 60Kansas | L 7–31 | -19.6 | — | FOX |
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 98Georgia Southern | W 42–14 | +16.7 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 118Oregon State | W 36–27 | +1.2 | — | CW |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Southern FCS | W 56–7 | +7.9 | — | MWN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 77Hawai'iCONF | W 23–21 | +3.0 | — | Scripps Sports |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 121NevadaCONF | W 20–17 | -11.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 10 | @ 123Colorado StateCONF | L 21–49 | -33.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 54San Diego StateCONF | L 0–23 | -23.4 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 46Boise StateCONF | W 30–7 | +29.5 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 114WyomingCONF | W 24–3 | +9.4 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 79Utah StateCONF | L 17–28 | -16.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 122San José StateCONF | W 41–14 | +16.5 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 85Miami (OH)NEUTRAL | W 18–3 | +12.2 | — | CW |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.4% | 109th | 38.9% | 25th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.5% | 118th | 43.7% | 73rd |
| Passing success rate | 40.4% | 77th | 34.2% | 12th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.7% | 94th | 13.4% | 62nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.5% | 120th | 6.8% | 6th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.95 | 92nd | 3.12 | 89th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.3% | 111th | 41.5% | 115th |
| Stuff rate | 18.4% | 88th | 18.6% | 46th |
| Sack rate | 3.6% | 23rd | 5.6% | 68th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.5% | 76th | 39.2% | 52nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.6% | 115th | 69.0% | 123rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.7% | 100th | 13.5% | 27th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.8 | 89th | 21.2 | 30th |
| Yards / game | 353.9 | 93rd | 285.7 | 10th |
| Yards / play | 5.23 | 93rd | 4.56 | 15th |
| Pass yards / game | 183.4 | 112th | 142.1 | 4th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.39 | 112th | 5.43 | 3rd |
| Completion % | 64.1% | 45th | 53.8% | 6th |
| Rush yards / game | 170.5 | 54th | 131.9 | 41st |
| Yards / carry | 4.54 | 54th | 4.06 | 60th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.4% | 100th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 101st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 29th | 1.92 | 80th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.6 | 99th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →