The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | @ 72Wisconsin | L 0–17 | -14.8 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 65Rutgers | L 17–45 | -22.2 | — | Peacock |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 64UNLV | L 38–41 | -5.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs Lindenwood FCS | W 38–0 | +4.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 119Northern IllinoisCONF | W 25–14 | +2.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 120AkronCONF | W 20–7 | +4.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 117Eastern MichiganCONF | W 44–30 | +0.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 67Western MichiganCONF | W 26–17 | +6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 4 | @ 68OhioCONF | L 20–24 | -1.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 12 | vs 33ToledoCONF | L 3–24 | -17.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 19 | @ 109BuffaloCONF | W 37–20 | +12.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 132Ball StateCONF | W 45–24 | +3.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 67Western MichiganNEUTRAL | L 13–23 | -9.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 73Fresno StateNEUTRAL | L 3–18 | -15.8 | — | CW |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 101st | 40.5% | 47th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.7% | 77th | 41.0% | 48th |
| Passing success rate | 35.7% | 121st | 40.0% | 53rd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 51st | 10.9% | 23rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 39th | 7.2% | 9th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.27 | 29th | 2.97 | 56th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.2% | 62nd | 37.0% | 52nd |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 42nd | 17.7% | 63rd |
| Sack rate | 6.3% | 93rd | 7.3% | 16th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.9% | 115th | 44.0% | 107th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.4% | 99th | 51.2% | 40th |
| Havoc rate | 12.3% | 91st | 12.2% | 58th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.2 | 69th | 21.7 | 32nd |
| Yards / game | 337.6 | 108th | 334.6 | 36th |
| Yards / play | 5.29 | 85th | 4.79 | 28th |
| Pass yards / game | 187.3 | 106th | 181.9 | 33rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.07 | 75th | 6.42 | 27th |
| Completion % | 49.3% | 136th | 56.5% | 18th |
| Rush yards / game | 150.3 | 78th | 134.3 | 46th |
| Yards / carry | 4.24 | 78th | 3.75 | 43rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.7% | 109th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.07 | 36th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.93 | 80th | 2.86 | 14th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.1 | 49th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →