The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | vs Idaho State FCS | W 38–31 | -17.8 | — | MWN |
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 134Sam Houston | W 38–21 | +2.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 89UCLA | W 30–23 | +0.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 85Miami (OH) | W 41–38 | +3.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 114WyomingCONF | W 31–17 | +8.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 95Air ForceCONF | W 51–48 | -5.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 46Boise StateCONF | L 31–56 | -17.9 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 74New MexicoCONF | L 35–40 | -8.9 | — | MWN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 123Colorado StateCONF | W 42–10 | +18.3 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 79Utah StateCONF | W 29–26 | -2.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 21 | vs 77Hawai'iCONF | W 38–10 | +20.9 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 121NevadaCONF | W 42–17 | +16.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 15 | Dec 5 | @ 46Boise State | L 21–38 | -10.5 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 68OhioNEUTRAL | L 10–17 | -7.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.6% | 19th | 44.1% | 93rd |
| Rushing success rate | 49.2% | 17th | 46.8% | 111th |
| Passing success rate | 46.1% | 27th | 41.8% | 74th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.2% | 4th | 18.1% | 131st |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 45th | 10.0% | 70th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.35 | 20th | 3.37 | 123rd |
| Opportunity rate | 44.1% | 9th | 43.3% | 126th |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 58th | 14.9% | 104th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 74th | 6.1% | 50th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.5% | 19th | 35.6% | 27th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.9% | 18th | 66.7% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 11.6% | 75th | 10.6% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.1 | 21st | 28.0 | 82nd |
| Yards / game | 446.4 | 20th | 419.1 | 117th |
| Yards / play | 6.60 | 12th | 6.18 | 125th |
| Pass yards / game | 250.9 | 42nd | 227.8 | 109th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.28 | 21st | 7.62 | 104th |
| Completion % | 65.8% | 30th | 59.9% | 42nd |
| Rush yards / game | 195.5 | 23rd | 177.4 | 105th |
| Yards / carry | 5.51 | 10th | 5.22 | 130th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.8% | 26th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.21 | 61st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.86 | 73rd | 2.14 | 62nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.2 | 124th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →