
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 26Michigan | L 17–34 | -6.3 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Idaho State FCS | W 32–22 | -14.8 | — | MWN |
| 3 | Sep 12 | @ 89UCLA | W 35–10 | +23.4 | — | BTN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 127New Mexico State | W 38–20 | +3.3 | — | MWN |
| 6 | Oct 3 | @ 122San José StateCONF | L 28–35 | -15.5 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 46Boise StateCONF | L 25–41 | -9.5 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 121NevadaCONF | W 24–22 | -12.0 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 79Utah StateCONF | W 33–14 | +13.9 | — | MWN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 64UNLVCONF | W 40–35 | +8.6 | — | MWN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 123Colorado StateCONF | W 20–17 | -11.1 | — | MWN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 95Air ForceCONF | W 20–3 | +14.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 54San Diego StateCONF | W 23–17 | +5.6 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 63MinnesotaNEUTRAL | L 17–20 | -2.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.9% | 86th | 40.8% | 53rd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 72nd | 40.7% | 45th |
| Passing success rate | 39.8% | 86th | 41.0% | 67th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.7% | 73rd | 10.5% | 17th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.2% | 24th | 9.5% | 58th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.17 | 45th | 2.82 | 27th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.7% | 105th | 33.1% | 13th |
| Stuff rate | 13.5% | 16th | 20.5% | 22nd |
| Sack rate | 8.4% | 124th | 7.5% | 12th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.8% | 72nd | 41.7% | 77th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.3% | 100th | 67.6% | 116th |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 11.7% | 74th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.1 | 82nd | 22.3 | 36th |
| Yards / game | 356.9 | 90th | 341.9 | 41st |
| Yards / play | 5.44 | 73rd | 5.04 | 40th |
| Pass yards / game | 204.8 | 92nd | 212.4 | 79th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.61 | 52nd | 7.23 | 73rd |
| Completion % | 64.9% | 39th | 68.5% | 133rd |
| Rush yards / game | 152.1 | 76th | 112.8 | 21st |
| Yards / carry | 4.22 | 80th | 3.38 | 16th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.4% | 72nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 122nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.62 | 116th | 2.77 | 17th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.8 | 47th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jack Layne | QB | ||||
| 13 | James Laubstein | QB | ||||
| 15 | Toa Fa'avae | QB | ||||
| 1 | Damon Bankston | RB | ||||
| 4 | DJ McKinney | RB | ||||
| 8 | Deshaun Buchanan | RB | ||||
| 22 | Scottre Humphrey | RB | ||||
| 0 | Zhaiel Smith | WR | ||||
| 2 | Abraham Williams | WR | ||||
| 6 | Keagan Johnson | WR | ||||
| 14 | Shawn Miller | WR | ||||
| 17 | Michael Buckley | WR | ||||
| 7 | Dorian Thomas | TE | ||||
| 85 | Simon Mapa | TE | ||||
| 88 | Cade Keith | TE | ||||
| 51 | Malik Aliane | OL | ||||
| 22 | Dimitri Johnson | DL | ||||
| 31 | Landon Williams | DL | ||||
| 10 | Darren Agu | DE | ||||
| 19 | Elijah Brody | DE | ||||
| 45 | Brett Karhu | DE | ||||
| 97 | Cody Thumlert | DE | ||||
| 9 | Gabriel Lopez | DT | ||||
| 15 | Xavier Slayton | DT | ||||
| 17 | Okiki Olorunfunmi | DT | ||||
| 20 | Ky'won McCray | DT | ||||
| 33 | Randolph Kpai | DT | ||||
| 54 | Hunter Haemker | DT | ||||
| 92 | Brian Booker | DT | ||||
| 94 | Jalen McIver | DT | ||||
| 6 | Jaxton Eck | LB | ||||
| 11 | C.J. Johnson | LB | ||||
| 16 | Mercury Swaim | LB | ||||
| 27 | Thomas Pettus | LB | ||||
| 4 | Jayden Sheridan | CB | ||||
| 5 | Frankie Edwards III | CB | ||||
| 12 | Jon Johnson | CB | ||||
| 24 | Bear Levells | CB | ||||
| 28 | Jahmir Torres | CB | ||||
| 0 | Albert Nunes | S | ||||
| 3 | David Murphy | S | ||||
| 5 | Jayden Bell | S | ||||
| 7 | Tavian Combs | S | ||||
| 8 | Clint Stephens | S | ||||
| 13 | Chris Gant Jr. | S | ||||
| 18 | Caleb Coleman | S | ||||
| 21 | Austin Brawley | S | ||||
| 26 | CJ McBean | S | ||||
| 29 | Aaron Smith | S | ||||
| 47 | Drew Speech | S | ||||
| 13 | Luke Drzewiecki | PK | ||||
| 35 | Charles Steinkamp | P | ||||
| 96 | Daniel Hughes | P | ||||
| 47 | Trey Dubuc | LS | ||||
| 1 | Keyshawn James-Newby | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →