
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Bucknell FCS | W 49–13 | +3.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 79Utah StateCONF | L 30–49 | -18.5 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 46Boise StateCONF | L 37–49 | -11.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 77Hawai'iCONF | L 35–44 | -13.5 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 49Navy | L 31–34 | +3.3 | — | CBS |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 64UNLVCONF | L 48–51 | +0.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 114WyomingCONF | W 24–21 | -8.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 69Army | L 17–20 | -5.9 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 122San José StateCONF | W 26–16 | +1.5 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 75UConn | L 16–26 | -8.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 74New MexicoCONF | L 3–20 | -20.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 123Colorado StateCONF | W 42–21 | +12.5 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.1% | 18th | 50.0% | 134th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.8% | 23rd | 46.2% | 102nd |
| Passing success rate | 46.0% | 28th | 53.7% | 136th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 102nd | 16.5% | 122nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 18.5% | 1st | 13.8% | 128th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.43 | 11th | 3.39 | 127th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.3% | 46th | 41.6% | 116th |
| Stuff rate | 9.8% | 1st | 11.6% | 134th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 105th | 3.8% | 120th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 51.4% | 8th | 51.9% | 135th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.5% | 4th | 64.1% | 109th |
| Havoc rate | 7.4% | 3rd | 8.9% | 128th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.3 | 10th | 30.3 | 97th |
| Yards / game | 406.6 | 46th | 423.2 | 118th |
| Yards / play | 5.85 | 39th | 7.06 | 135th |
| Pass yards / game | 145.2 | 128th | 257.9 | 130th |
| Yards / pass att. | 10.62 | 1st | 9.45 | 135th |
| Completion % | 59.1% | 98th | 69.6% | 134th |
| Rush yards / game | 261.4 | 3rd | 158.5 | 83rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.80 | 33rd | 5.18 | 128th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 51.0% | 7th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.33 | 23rd | 1.33 | 121st |
| Penalty yards / game | 31.3 | 6th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →