Mountain West · 2025 · Final

Air Force Falcons 2025

4-83-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#95
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-5.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.2
63rd in FBS
Defense
-5.4
119th in FBS
Schedule
-4.3
94th toughest
Preseason
-4.2
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-5.2 now, -4.2 preseason · up 16 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#95

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vsBucknell FCSW 49–13+3.4—CBSSN
2—Bye
3Sep 13@79Utah StateCONFL 30–49-18.5—FS1
4Sep 20vs46Boise StateCONFL 37–49-11.1—CBSSN
5Sep 27vs77Hawai'iCONFL 35–44-13.5—FS1
6Oct 4@49NavyL 31–34+3.3—CBS
7Oct 11@64UNLVCONFL 48–51+0.6—CBSSN
8Oct 18vs114WyomingCONFW 24–21-8.6—CBSSN
9—Bye
10Nov 1vs69ArmyL 17–20-5.9—CBS
11Nov 8@122San José StateCONFW 26–16+1.5—FS1
12Nov 15@75UConnL 16–26-8.4—CBSSN
13Nov 22vs74New MexicoCONFL 3–20-20.9—CBSSN
14Nov 28@123Colorado StateCONFW 42–21+12.5—FS1

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate48.1%18th50.0%134th
Rushing success rate48.8%23rd46.2%102nd
Passing success rate46.0%28th53.7%136th
Explosive run rate12.4%102nd16.5%122nd
Explosive pass rate18.5%1st13.8%128th
Line yards / carry3.4311th3.39127th
Opportunity rate40.3%46th41.6%116th
Stuff rate9.8%1st11.6%134th
Sack rate6.9%105th3.8%120th
3rd-down conversion51.4%8th51.9%135th
Red-zone TD rate75.5%4th64.1%109th
Havoc rate7.4%3rd8.9%128th
Box score · season totals
Points / game39.310th30.397th
Yards / game406.646th423.2118th
Yards / play5.8539th7.06135th
Pass yards / game145.2128th257.9130th
Yards / pass att.10.621st9.45135th
Completion %59.1%98th69.6%134th
Rush yards / game261.43rd158.583rd
Yards / carry4.8033rd5.18128th
3rd-down conv. %51.0%7th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0025th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3323rd1.33121st
Penalty yards / game31.36th——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →