Mountain West · 2026

Air Force Falcons

Head coach Troy Calhoun · Falcon Stadium
1-10-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#90
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-2.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.1
69th in FBS
Defense
-2.9
105th in FBS
Schedule so far
-11.2
124th toughest
Projected
6.6-5.4
bowl-eligible 73%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-2.8 now, -2.4 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#89

Final record odds

6.6-5.4 expected · most likely 7-5 (21%)
2-103-98%4-814%5-720%6-621%7-517%8-410%9-310-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsDuquesne FCSW 34–0+0.3—MW+
2Sep 12vs57North Dakota StateCONFL 32–38-7.1—FS1
3—Bye
4Sep 26@125NevadaCONFAir Force −3.1 · o/u 47.2—58%FS1
5Oct 3vs74NavyAir Force −1.5 · o/u 57.4—54%CBS
6Oct 10@137Northern IllinoisCONFAir Force −8.8 · o/u 51.4—72%CBSSN
7Oct 17vs91UNLVCONFAir Force −3.2 · o/u 47.3—58%CBSSN
8Oct 23@134WyomingCONFAir Force −6.7 · o/u 44.4—67%CW
9Oct 31vs68UConnUConn −0.1 · o/u 58.0—50%MW+
10Nov 7@61ArmyArmy −6.8 · o/u 49.0—33%CBS
11Nov 14vs122San José StateCONFAir Force −8.7 · o/u 54.8—72%CBSSN
12Nov 20vs127UTEPCONFAir Force −9.6 · o/u 56.3—73%CW
13Nov 28@35New MexicoCONFNew Mexico −10.5 · o/u 50.4—25%CW

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.28937th-0.05329th
Success rate50.8%23rd32.7%21st
Explosiveness0.990134th1.548135th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.2%24th32.6%20th
Rushing success rate52.5%16th30.9%22nd
Passing success rate45.5%59th35.0%34th
Explosive run rate13.1%83rd10.9%52nd
Explosive pass rate23.8%3rd10.3%81st
Line yards / carry3.877th2.5628th
Opportunity rate42.4%48th25.5%12th
Stuff rate7.1%2nd20.0%52nd
Sack rate4.5%71st2.5%114th
3rd-down conversion50.0%29th42.9%94th
Red-zone TD rate75.0%36th100.0%131st
Havoc rate5.8%2nd15.8%48th
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.060th19.053rd
Yards / game418.062nd240.515th
Yards / play5.7783rd4.6244th
Pass yards / game99.0135th140.517th
Yards / pass att.9.0032nd6.2451st
Completion %54.5%129th53.3%17th
Rush yards / game319.03rd100.035th
Yards / carry5.2038th3.4554th
3rd-down conv. %51.7%20th30.4%37th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5022nd1.5057th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.508th0.50135th
Penalty yards / game57.573rd32.5123rd

Roster

100 players · Head coach Troy Calhoun

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
4Howard Fisher IVQB5' 11"170Wylie, TX
4Kemper HodgesQBSR6' 0"245Santa Rosa Beach, FL
5Evan MeddersQBSO5' 10"210Waxhaw, NC
7Cade SpradlingQBSO6' 0"200Spring Branch, TX
11Josh JohnsonQBSR6' 2"190New Orleans, LA
13Maguire MartinQBSR6' 1"190Argyle, TX
2Owen AllenRBSR5' 11"215Southlake, TX
21Chase FerrellRBSO5' 6"170Houston, TX
34Oswaldo MoralesRBSO5' 9"210Tomball, TX
44Rocco ContiRBSR5' 8"190Olmsted Falls, OH
24Luke RauhFBJR6' 0"210Enid, OK
27Price DavisFBSO6' 0"195Maryville, TN
28Gage LaDueFBJR5' 10"215Maryville, TN
45Omari EliasFBJR5' 9"205Wichita, KS
0Owen ChambersWRSR5' 10"195Dana Point, CA
3Matt LongWRJR5' 10"205Folsom, CA
8Jonah DawsonWRJR5' 9"170Rancho Cucamonga, CA
10Adam HrynciwWRSR6' 3"180Fremont, OH
18Mason HayesWRJR5' 11"210Normandy Park, WA
20Keegan SackWRSO5' 10"210Hurricane, WV
29Sylas Maiava-AlaimaloWRSO5' 9"195Oahu, HI
30Major QuinWRSO5' 10"185Jackson, MS
33Mason LoweWRJR5' 10"185Littleton, CO
36Astin HangeWRJR5' 10"175Kapolei, HI
89Noah McNairWRSO6' 0"205Sunnyside, WA
53Griffin StalfortTESR6' 2"290Chandler, AZ
80Simon KibbeeTESR6' 6"250Aurora, CO
81Dominic HenningTESO6' 3"245Aurora, CO
82Henry BarbischTESO6' 5"250Pittsburgh, PA
85Mitchell BlakesleeTESR6' 4"260The Woodlands, TX
87Harry CaskeyTEJR6' 2"240Ogallala, NE
52Nathan ElwoodOLSR6' 3"290Marysville, WA
53Michael RayOLSO6' 4"300Memphis, TN
54Justus PeralesOLJR6' 2"280Garland, TX
56Ian FisherOLSR6' 3"285Peachtree City, GA
57Brody SmithOLJR6' 3"290Jefferson City, MO
62Jonny BrambilaOLJR6' 3"300Murray, UT
63Eli CampbellOLSO6' 2"310Princeton, WV
64Caden RomoOLJR6' 3"245Wimberley, TX
66Jake SulzbergerOLSO6' 4"275Lemont, IL
67Cole AndersonOLSO6' 3"315Jacksonville, FL
71Marcus RoserOLJR6' 2"280Ashburn, VA
72Jon AshfordOLJR6' 2"320Edmond, OK
73Brandon NazworthOLJR6' 3"290Folsom, CA
75Alec FalkOLSR6' 5"315Monument, CO
76Alex BoydOLSO6' 4"280Maryville, TN
77Peyton KnoebelOLJR6' 4"300Arvada, CO
78Gary LassleyOLSO6' 4"300Frisco, TX
55Cullen DevineDLSO6' 3"225Austin, TX
59Chaz BarnettDLJR6' 5"260Highlands Ranch, CO
90Muhammad AlcineDLSO6' 2"255Lawrenceville, GA
95Noah DanielsDLSO6' 3"260Winter Park, FL
96Charlie GleasonDLSR6' 4"235Stillwater, MN
98Christian KrietzerDLSO6' 2"240Macon, GA
99Jayden OquendoDLSR6' 2"285Olathe, KS
18DeSean DavisDEJR6' 3"225Prosper, TX
34Jalen DavisDEJR6' 3"220Prosper, TX
48Antonio MenardDEJR6' 1"230Lakeville, MN
50Grady ForsytheDEJR6' 4"235Conifer, CO
53Ryan LippeDESO6' 4"250Hartville, OH
84Samuel Rhoades VDEJR6' 3"240Tulsa, OK
0Luke FisherLBSR6' 0"225Columbus, MS
6Blake FletcherLBSR6' 1"230Racine, WI
8Dallas DaleyLBSR6' 1"215Renton, WA
30Isaac HubertLBSR6' 1"225Canton, GA
32Andrew JurasekLBSO5' 11"235Westlake, TX
33Brody BujnochLBSR6' 1"235Hutto, TX
35Bryce BradenLBSO6' 2"225Stratford, TX
39Brodie MitchellLBJR6' 1"205Portland, TX
41Sam OaklandLBSO6' 2"225San Antonio, TX
43Seth McFarlandLBSO6' 0"235Longview, TX
44Jonah BowmanLBJR6' 0"235Prosper, TX
45Jaylin ReeseLBJR5' 11"235Woodbury, MN
47Jake KeplerLBJR6' 2"230Springfield, IL
51Vinnie CanosaLBJR6' 1"230Acworth, GA
2Korey JohnsonDBJR6' 0"195Glendale, AZ
3Kyle ChenDBJR6' 0"200Vancouver, WA
4Mikhail SeikenDBJR5' 11"190Takoma Park, MD
5Roger Jones Jr.DBJR5' 10"184Huntington, MD
7Nick BeckwithDBJR6' 0"205Lafayette, LA
10Jerome DrainDBSO6' 3"190Fulshear, TX
12Jax GatesDBSO5' 11"190Lincoln, NE
13Joseph KramlichDBSO5' 10"175Kulm, ND
14Tyshan MitchellDBSO5' 10"170Montgomery, NY
15Mikey InwehDBFR6' 4"205San Antonio, TX
19Houston HendrixDBSR6' 1"205Boerne, TX
21Clayton HartDBSO6' 1"195Henderson, TX
22Ehimen OyamendanDBSO5' 10"190La Crescenta, CA
23Cade PatersonDBSO5' 11"195Eastvale, CA
24Jordan Elie-StuartDBSO5' 11"170Tomball, TX
26Alexander PerezDBSO5' 10"200Henderson, NV
27Ethan StannardDBSO5' 11"195Atlanta, GA
31Jayden MalbrancheDBSO5' 11"180Fort Myers, FL
36Max MustellDBSO5' 10"175Miami, FL
39Jacob MedinaPKJR5' 10"170Chandler, AZ
90Carter CremascoliPKSO5' 11"210Mount Prospect, IL
91Rip PerezPSR6' 2"200Atlanta, GA
94Will DuncanPJR6' 0"220Katy, TX
98Rocco D'AngeloPJR5' 11"180Naples, FL
46Jake HelmsLSJR6' 0"210Austin, TX

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →