Mountain West · 2014 · Final

Air Force Falcons 2014

10-35-3 in conference
Final TDC rank
#64
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-0.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
0.0
63rd in FBS
Defense
-0.1
65th in FBS
Schedule
-5.3
107th toughest
Preseason
-7.7
rating going in

2014 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-0.1 now, -7.7 preseason · up 51 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#64

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vsNicholls State FCSW 44–16+4.3—ESPN3
2Sep 6@106WyomingCONFL 13–17-10.3—ESPNU
3Sep 13@127Georgia StateW 48–38-6.8—ESPN3
4—Bye
5Sep 27vs25Boise StateCONFW 28–14+20.5—CBSSN
6Oct 4vs55NavyW 30–21+8.2—CBSSN
7Oct 11@47Utah StateCONFL 16–34-12.1—ESPNU
8Oct 18vs110New MexicoCONFW 35–31-7.5—
9—Bye
10Nov 1@116ArmyW 23–6+7.8—CBS
11Nov 8@123UNLVCONFW 48–21+12.9—
12Nov 15vs71NevadaCONFW 45–38+3.5—
13Nov 21@75San Diego StateCONFL 14–30-15.2—CBSSN
14Nov 28vs46Colorado StateCONFW 27–24+4.1—CBSSN
BowlsDec 20vs76Western MichiganNEUTRALW 38–24+12.3—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.8%50th37.0%13th
Rushing success rate44.5%59th34.9%7th
Passing success rate46.0%25th39.0%48th
Explosive run rate11.7%110th14.1%55th
Explosive pass rate14.2%10th13.4%122nd
Line yards / carry3.0762nd2.6317th
Opportunity rate35.8%96th29.5%2nd
Stuff rate15.6%24th20.5%38th
Sack rate5.1%51st7.3%22nd
3rd-down conversion49.3%14th37.6%29th
Red-zone TD rate67.9%26th52.6%23rd
Havoc rate11.3%50th13.9%20th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.047th24.131st
Yards / game418.755th396.364th
Yards / play5.3768th5.5179th
Pass yards / game145.6119th240.8102nd
Yards / pass att.9.195th7.76107th
Completion %56.8%78th55.6%36th
Rush yards / game273.17th140.335th
Yards / carry4.4654th3.8739th
3rd-down conv. %47.0%18th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.928th2.6729th
Penalty yards / game35.48th——

Players

63 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)

63 players

Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →