The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 27Arizona | L 13–58 | -20.2 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Northern Colorado FCS | W 13–12 | -20.1 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 63Northern Illinois | L 34–48 | -16.4 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 54Houston | L 14–47 | -23.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 75San Diego StateCONF | L 17–34 | -16.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 109San Jose StateCONF | L 10–33 | -29.6 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 85Fresno StateCONF | W 30–27 | -4.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 47Utah StateCONF | L 20–34 | -8.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 110New MexicoCONF | L 28–31 | -14.5 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 64Air ForceCONF | L 21–48 | -27.5 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 42BYU | L 23–42 | -11.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 111Hawai'iCONF | L 35–37 | -8.8 | — | |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 71NevadaCONF | L 27–49 | -25.5 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.9% | 106th | 47.0% | 110th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.1% | 89th | 50.4% | 116th |
| Passing success rate | 36.3% | 104th | 41.3% | 72nd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.0% | 106th | 17.7% | 111th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 38th | 13.1% | 120th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.03 | 67th | 3.29 | 109th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.9% | 109th | 42.2% | 104th |
| Stuff rate | 15.0% | 21st | 15.3% | 108th |
| Sack rate | 7.5% | 104th | 6.3% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.6% | 106th | 44.6% | 99th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.1% | 80th | 72.7% | 119th |
| Havoc rate | 13.3% | 93rd | 11.1% | 90th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.0 | 110th | 38.3 | 115th |
| Yards / game | 387.4 | 81st | 513.5 | 126th |
| Yards / play | 5.03 | 98th | 6.44 | 121st |
| Pass yards / game | 258.2 | 44th | 209.3 | 60th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.74 | 81st | 8.47 | 121st |
| Completion % | 53.8% | 107th | 57.6% | 57th |
| Rush yards / game | 129.2 | 105th | 293.9 | 126th |
| Yards / carry | 3.60 | 105th | 5.64 | 123rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.4% | 104th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 110th | 1.77 | 91st |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.2 | 67th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nick Sherry | QB | ||||
| 5 | Blake Decker | QB | ||||
| 14 | Jared Lebowitz | QB | ||||
| 22 | David Greene | RB | ||||
| 28 | Keith Whitely | RB | ||||
| 28 | Robert Holland | RB | ||||
| 33 | Shaquille Murray-Lawrence | RB | ||||
| 34 | Henri Jussila | RB | ||||
| 39 | George Naufahu | RB | ||||
| 36 | Marc Philippi | FB | ||||
| 6 | Anthony Williams | WR | ||||
| 10 | Maika Mataele | WR | ||||
| 13 | Jay Mitchell | WR | ||||
| 18 | Marcus Sullivan | WR | ||||
| 81 | Devante Davis | WR | ||||
| 83 | Devonte Boyd | WR | ||||
| 84 | Kendal Keys | WR | ||||
| 16 | Taylor Barnhill | TE | ||||
| 46 | Jake Phillips | TE | ||||
| 88 | Andrew Price | TE | ||||
| 60 | Alex Cooper | OL | ||||
| 26 | Iggy Porchia | DL | ||||
| 48 | Siuea Vaesau | DL | ||||
| 85 | Jordan Sparkman | DL | ||||
| 87 | Antonio Zepeda | DL | ||||
| 91 | Josh Shirley | DL | ||||
| 92 | Brandon Willis | DL | ||||
| 93 | Sonny Sanitoa | DL | ||||
| 97 | Dominic Baldwin | DL | ||||
| 98 | Asten Koki | DL | ||||
| 99 | Mike Hughes Jr. | DT | ||||
| 23 | Matt Lea | LB | ||||
| 43 | Najee Johnson | LB | ||||
| 50 | Trent Langham | LB | ||||
| 55 | Tau Lotulelei | LB | ||||
| 56 | Ryan McAleenan | LB | ||||
| 2 | Blake Richmond | DB | ||||
| 4 | Sidney Hodge | DB | ||||
| 4 | Thomas Singleton | DB | ||||
| 11 | Troy Hawthorne | DB | ||||
| 19 | Torry McTyer | DB | ||||
| 20 | Matt Vinal | DB | ||||
| 24 | Fred Wilson | DB | ||||
| 25 | Brandon Baker | DB | ||||
| 31 | Jonavaughn Williams | DB | ||||
| 32 | Mike Horsey | DB | ||||
| 42 | Peni Vea | DB | ||||
| 44 | Kenny Keys | DB | ||||
| 51 | Kimble Jensen | DB | ||||
| 17 | Kenneth Penny | CB | ||||
| 29 | Tajh Hasson | CB | ||||
| 38 | Jonathan Leiva | PK | ||||
| 40 | Nicolai Bornand | PK | ||||
| Brian McIntyre | PK | |||||
| 45 | Logan Yunker | P | ||||
| 59 | Dylan Detwiler | LS |
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →