Final TDC rank
#42
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+5.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.7
23rd in FBS
Defense
-0.7
75th in FBS
Schedule
-2.0
72nd toughest
Preseason
+4.4
rating going in
2014 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+5.0 now, +4.4 preseason · down 16 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 122Connecticut | W 35–10 | +12.1 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 53Texas | W 41–7 | +32.0 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 11 | vs 54Houston | W 33–25 | +7.3 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 52Virginia | W 41–33 | +7.7 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 3 | vs 47Utah State | L 20–35 | -13.9 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 9 | @ 50UCF | L 24–31 | -1.8 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 71Nevada | L 35–42 | -10.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 24 | @ 25Boise State | L 30–55 | -13.0 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 81Middle Tennessee | W 27–7 | +18.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 123UNLV | W 42–23 | +2.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs Savannah State FCS | W 64–0 | +16.9 | — | |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 69California | W 42–35 | +8.5 | — | PACN |
| Bowls | Dec 22 | vs 31MemphisNEUTRAL | L 48–55 | -0.3 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.8% | 38th | 39.5% | 30th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.6% | 39th | 37.3% | 14th |
| Passing success rate | 44.1% | 36th | 41.2% | 71st |
| Explosive run rate | 16.2% | 43rd | 9.1% | 1st |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.3% | 57th | 7.8% | 12th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.42 | 11th | 2.82 | 36th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.0% | 18th | 31.9% | 10th |
| Stuff rate | 15.1% | 22nd | 18.5% | 68th |
| Sack rate | 6.4% | 79th | 4.0% | 108th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.6% | 36th | 40.1% | 52nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.5% | 10th | 68.9% | 104th |
| Havoc rate | 10.1% | 21st | 10.5% | 102nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.0 | 17th | 29.8 | 83rd |
| Yards / game | 460.5 | 28th | 384.2 | 56th |
| Yards / play | 5.51 | 59th | 4.80 | 26th |
| Pass yards / game | 278.7 | 27th | 254.0 | 112th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.50 | 54th | 6.36 | 23rd |
| Completion % | 59.8% | 53rd | 58.5% | 66th |
| Rush yards / game | 181.8 | 49th | 117.5 | 14th |
| Yards / carry | 4.17 | 75th | 3.26 | 14th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.2% | 37th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.77 | 103rd | 2.17 | 60th |
| Penalty yards / game | 81.0 | 125th | — | — |
Players
72 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
72 players
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →