
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 87UTEP | L 24–31 | -14.5 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 21Arizona State | L 23–58 | -20.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 125New Mexico State | W 38–35 | -12.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 5 | Sep 26 | vs 85Fresno StateCONF | L 24–35 | -18.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 103UT San Antonio | W 21–9 | +6.2 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 75San Diego StateCONF | L 14–24 | -14.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 64Air ForceCONF | L 31–35 | -1.7 | — | |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 123UNLVCONF | W 31–28 | -9.2 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 25Boise StateCONF | L 49–60 | -4.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 47Utah StateCONF | L 21–28 | -1.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 46Colorado StateCONF | L 20–58 | -23.0 | — | |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 106WyomingCONF | W 36–30 | -5.1 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 83rd | 47.9% | 114th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.2% | 66th | 49.5% | 110th |
| Passing success rate | 31.1% | 124th | 45.9% | 113th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.5% | 20th | 19.8% | 126th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.9% | 22nd | 15.9% | 126th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.17 | 42nd | 3.26 | 105th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.2% | 31st | 40.7% | 88th |
| Stuff rate | 17.4% | 46th | 16.2% | 101st |
| Sack rate | 7.9% | 113th | 6.4% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.1% | 98th | 54.5% | 127th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.9% | 26th | 71.4% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 63rd | 12.1% | 59th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.0 | 76th | 35.8 | 112th |
| Yards / game | 399.5 | 67th | 519.0 | 127th |
| Yards / play | 6.43 | 19th | 6.65 | 125th |
| Pass yards / game | 89.1 | 126th | 235.8 | 96th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.17 | 60th | 8.36 | 119th |
| Completion % | 51.0% | 120th | 60.5% | 89th |
| Rush yards / game | 310.4 | 5th | 269.0 | 125th |
| Yards / carry | 6.36 | 4th | 5.83 | 126th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.8% | 94th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.92 | 6th | 2.00 | 72nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.8 | 25th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →