Mountain West · 2018 · Final

Air Force Falcons 2018

5-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#73
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-0.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.6
59th in FBS
Defense
-1.1
75th in FBS
Schedule
-3.5
88th toughest
Preseason
-2.0
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-0.4 now, -2.0 preseason · up 14 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#73

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vsStony Brook FCSW 38–0+5.1—
2Sep 8@76Florida AtlanticL 27–33-4.2—
3—Bye
4Sep 22@14Utah StateCONFL 32–42+2.8—ESPN2
5Sep 29vs83NevadaCONFL 25–28-7.8—ESPNEWS
6Oct 6vs96NavyW 35–7+17.3—CBSSN
7Oct 12@87San Diego StateCONFL 17–21-4.4—CBSSN
8Oct 19@107UNLVCONFW 41–35-1.3—CBSSN
9Oct 27vs23Boise StateCONFL 38–48-3.6—CBSSN
10Nov 3@30ArmyL 14–17+5.7—CBSSN
11Nov 10vs109New MexicoCONFW 42–24+5.4—CBSSN
12Nov 17@88WyomingCONFL 27–35-8.7—ESPNEWS
13Nov 22vs116Colorado StateCONFW 27–19-6.6—CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.1%25th40.7%48th
Rushing success rate47.6%32nd35.2%9th
Passing success rate45.4%28th46.8%116th
Explosive run rate12.3%107th11.8%20th
Explosive pass rate16.8%5th14.9%119th
Line yards / carry3.0852nd2.5210th
Opportunity rate39.6%49th29.9%4th
Stuff rate14.3%10th20.3%42nd
Sack rate4.0%22nd5.1%82nd
3rd-down conversion43.6%42nd42.8%91st
Red-zone TD rate74.4%14th67.9%87th
Havoc rate10.4%24th14.5%24th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.371st28.160th
Yards / game415.053rd——
Yards / play5.6163rd——
Pass yards / game131.3125th——
Yards / pass att.9.386th——
Completion %55.4%102nd——
Rush yards / game283.73rd——
Yards / carry4.7739th——
3rd-down conv. %41.2%51st——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.582nd——
Penalty yards / game43.422nd——

Players

61 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

61 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →