
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 39Michigan State | L 31–38 | +0.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 127New Mexico State | W 60–13 | +13.8 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Tennessee Tech FCS | W 73–12 | +13.2 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 73Air ForceCONF | W 42–32 | +7.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 57BYU | W 45–20 | +28.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 107UNLVCONF | W 59–28 | +14.2 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 88WyomingCONF | W 24–16 | +7.3 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 109New MexicoCONF | W 61–19 | +17.7 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 101Hawai'iCONF | W 56–17 | +24.1 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 123San Jose StateCONF | W 62–24 | +13.0 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 116Colorado StateCONF | W 29–24 | -4.7 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 23Boise StateCONF | L 24–33 | +2.3 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 15 | vs 65North TexasNEUTRAL | W 52–13 | +30.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.4% | 8th | 38.1% | 19th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.9% | 22nd | 40.1% | 28th |
| Passing success rate | 51.6% | 6th | 36.0% | 24th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.4% | 42nd | 9.9% | 6th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.0% | 47th | 8.6% | 20th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.95 | 75th | 2.72 | 25th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.4% | 35th | 33.5% | 15th |
| Stuff rate | 19.6% | 81st | 18.1% | 75th |
| Sack rate | 1.5% | 1st | 6.9% | 35th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.6% | 9th | 37.4% | 40th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 71.7% | 24th | 54.5% | 23rd |
| Havoc rate | 9.1% | 11th | 13.7% | 44th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 47.5 | 7th | 22.2 | 27th |
| Yards / game | 497.4 | 11th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.78 | 9th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 294.2 | 17th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.23 | 24th | — | — |
| Completion % | 65.2% | 20th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 203.2 | 31st | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.50 | 15th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 47.0% | 12th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.69 | 3rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 70.3 | 115th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →