
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 14Utah State | W 38–31 | +14.9 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 49Arizona State | L 13–16 | +2.6 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 68IndianaCONF | W 35–21 | +16.7 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 122Central Michigan | W 31–20 | -4.7 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 40NorthwesternCONF | L 19–29 | -7.8 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 9Penn StateCONF | W 21–17 | +18.8 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 7MichiganCONF | L 7–21 | -2.6 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 37PurdueCONF | W 23–13 | +12.7 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 61MarylandCONF | W 24–3 | +24.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 5Ohio StateCONF | L 6–26 | -7.6 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 63NebraskaCONF | L 6–9 | +0.5 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 110RutgersCONF | W 14–10 | -9.1 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 42OregonNEUTRAL | L 6–7 | +3.2 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.5% | 118th | 35.6% | 9th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.8% | 109th | 30.8% | 1st |
| Passing success rate | 36.5% | 105th | 39.0% | 46th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.6% | 128th | 8.2% | 2nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.9% | 125th | 7.8% | 12th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.76 | 103rd | 2.16 | 1st |
| Opportunity rate | 32.0% | 124th | 29.1% | 1st |
| Stuff rate | 18.8% | 71st | 28.0% | 1st |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 33rd | 4.6% | 107th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.0% | 118th | 32.4% | 8th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 45.0% | 129th | 40.7% | 4th |
| Havoc rate | 12.3% | 55th | 15.7% | 9th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 18.7 | 128th | 17.1 | 7th |
| Yards / game | 342.1 | 116th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.50 | 125th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 217.2 | 78th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.68 | 126th | — | — |
| Completion % | 51.3% | 117th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 124.8 | 115th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.49 | 119th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.3% | 116th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 54th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.7 | 69th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rocky Lombardi | QB | ||||
| 14 | Brian Lewerke | QB | ||||
| 3 | LJ Scott | RB | ||||
| 15 | La'Darius Jefferson | RB | ||||
| 24 | Elijah Collins | RB | ||||
| 39 | Alante Thomas | RB | ||||
| 83 | Andre Welch | RB | ||||
| 11 | Connor Heyward | FB | ||||
| 4 | CJ Hayes | WR | ||||
| 7 | Cody White | WR | ||||
| 9 | Jalen Nailor | WR | ||||
| 13 | Laress Nelson | WR | ||||
| 16 | Brandon Sowards | WR | ||||
| 18 | Felton Davis III | WR | ||||
| 21 | Cam Chambers | WR | ||||
| 25 | Darrell Stewart Jr. | WR | ||||
| 27 | Weston Bridges | WR | ||||
| 49 | Max Rosenthal | TE | ||||
| 81 | Matt Sokol | TE | ||||
| 89 | Matt Dotson | TE | ||||
| 97 | Tyler Hunt | TE | ||||
| 62 | Luke Campbell | OL | ||||
| 72 | Blake Hance | OL | ||||
| 52 | Dillon Alexander | DE | ||||
| 86 | Drew Beesley | DE | ||||
| 91 | Jack Camper | DE | ||||
| 96 | Jacub Panasiuk | DE | ||||
| 41 | Gerald Owens | DT | ||||
| 64 | Jacob Slade | DT | ||||
| 93 | Naquan Jones | DT | ||||
| 99 | Raequan Williams | DT | ||||
| 5 | Andrew Dowell | LB | ||||
| 17 | Tyriq Thompson | LB | ||||
| 26 | Brandon Bouyer-Randle | LB | ||||
| 28 | Jon Reschke | LB | ||||
| 34 | Antjuan Simmons | LB | ||||
| 35 | Joe Bachie | LB | ||||
| 40 | Christian Mercer | LB | ||||
| 45 | Noah Harvey | LB | ||||
| B Bouyer-Randle | LB | |||||
| 19 | Josh Butler | CB | ||||
| 22 | Josiah Scott | CB | ||||
| 29 | Shakur Brown | CB | ||||
| 3 | Xavier Henderson | S | ||||
| 6 | David Dowell | S | ||||
| 10 | Matt Morrissey | S | ||||
| 24 | Tre Person | S | ||||
| 27 | Khari Willis | S | ||||
| 4 | Matt Coghlin | PK | ||||
| 98 | Cole Hahn | PK | ||||
| 25 | Jake Hartbarger | P | ||||
| 92 | William Przystup | P | ||||
| 99 | Bryce Baringer | P | ||||
| 2 | Justin Layne | DEF | ||||
| 48 | Kenny Willekes | DEF | ||||
| 72 | Mike Panasiuk | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →