Big Ten · 2018 · Final

Michigan State Spartans 2018

7-65-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#39
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+4.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.1
114th in FBS
Defense
+10.8
4th in FBS
Schedule
+3.6
15th toughest
Preseason
+4.4
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+4.7 now, +4.4 preseason · down 15 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#39

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 31vs14Utah StateW 38–31+14.9—BTN
2Sep 8@49Arizona StateL 13–16+2.6—ESPN
3—Bye
4Sep 22@68IndianaCONFW 35–21+16.7—BTN
5Sep 29vs122Central MichiganW 31–20-4.7—FS1
6Oct 6vs40NorthwesternCONFL 19–29-7.8—FS1
7Oct 13@9Penn StateCONFW 21–17+18.8—BTN
8Oct 20vs7MichiganCONFL 7–21-2.6—FOX
9Oct 27vs37PurdueCONFW 23–13+12.7—ESPN
10Nov 3@61MarylandCONFW 24–3+24.7—ESPN2
11Nov 10vs5Ohio StateCONFL 6–26-7.6—FOX
12Nov 17@63NebraskaCONFL 6–9+0.5—FOX
13Nov 24vs110RutgersCONFW 14–10-9.1—FOX
BowlsDec 31vs42OregonNEUTRALL 6–7+3.2—FOX

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.5%118th35.6%9th
Rushing success rate38.8%109th30.8%1st
Passing success rate36.5%105th39.0%46th
Explosive run rate9.6%128th8.2%2nd
Explosive pass rate6.9%125th7.8%12th
Line yards / carry2.76103rd2.161st
Opportunity rate32.0%124th29.1%1st
Stuff rate18.8%71st28.0%1st
Sack rate4.6%33rd4.6%107th
3rd-down conversion35.0%118th32.4%8th
Red-zone TD rate45.0%129th40.7%4th
Havoc rate12.3%55th15.7%9th
Box score · season totals
Points / game18.7128th17.17th
Yards / game342.1116th——
Yards / play4.50125th——
Pass yards / game217.278th——
Yards / pass att.5.68126th——
Completion %51.3%117th——
Rush yards / game124.8115th——
Yards / carry3.49119th——
3rd-down conv. %33.3%116th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0054th——
Penalty yards / game54.769th——

Players

57 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

57 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →