Big Ten · 2018 · Final

Northwestern Wildcats 2018

9-58-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#40
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+4.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.1
64th in FBS
Defense
+4.6
29th in FBS
Schedule
+4.1
8th toughest
Preseason
+4.2
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+4.6 now, +4.2 preseason · down 12 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#40

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30@37PurdueCONFW 31–27+11.6—ESPN
2Sep 8vs43DukeL 7–21-12.3—ESPNU
3Sep 15vs108AkronL 34–39-17.6—BTN
4—Bye
5Sep 29vs7MichiganCONFL 17–20+8.4—FOX
6Oct 6@39Michigan StateCONFW 29–19+17.2—FS1
7Oct 13vs63NebraskaCONFW 34–31+1.6—ABC
8Oct 20@110RutgersCONFW 18–15-5.2—BTN
9Oct 27vs28WisconsinCONFW 31–17+19.0—FOX
10Nov 3vs6Notre DameL 21–31+1.5—ESPN
11Nov 10@13IowaCONFW 14–10+17.6—FOX
12Nov 17@48MinnesotaCONFW 24–14+15.7—BTN
13Nov 24vs104IllinoisCONFW 24–16-3.4—BTN
14Dec 1vs5Ohio StateNEUTRALL 24–45-6.2—FOX
BowlsDec 31vs27UtahNEUTRALW 31–20+18.7—FS1

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.2%106th41.3%54th
Rushing success rate38.7%111th37.4%17th
Passing success rate39.6%88th44.6%97th
Explosive run rate9.4%130th12.0%21st
Explosive pass rate7.0%124th9.0%25th
Line yards / carry2.58118th2.6720th
Opportunity rate31.2%127th34.5%22nd
Stuff rate22.9%116th22.2%24th
Sack rate5.9%59th4.0%117th
3rd-down conversion40.6%65th36.5%29th
Red-zone TD rate65.2%60th47.7%9th
Havoc rate13.4%84th12.9%60th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.2106th34.185th
Yards / game354.4108th——
Yards / play4.59123rd——
Pass yards / game239.459th——
Yards / pass att.6.35111th——
Completion %60.4%56th——
Rush yards / game114.9120th——
Yards / carry3.11125th——
3rd-down conv. %38.0%73rd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.5792nd——
Penalty yards / game25.91st——

Players

55 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

55 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →