Final TDC rank
#108
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-10.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-8.7
124th in FBS
Defense
-1.5
81st in FBS
Schedule
-3.6
90th toughest
Preseason
-2.7
rating going in
2018 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
-10.1 now, -2.7 preseason · down 15 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 63Nebraska | Nebraska −13.6 · o/u 53.5 | — | FOX | |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs Morgan State FCS | W 41–7 | +3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 15 | @ 40Northwestern | W 39–34 | +12.1 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 36Iowa State | L 13–26 | -5.4 | — | |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 74Miami (OH)CONF | L 17–41 | -27.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 52BuffaloCONF | L 6–24 | -13.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 20 | @ 124Kent StateCONF | W 24–23 | -10.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 122Central MichiganCONF | W 17–10 | -8.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 82Northern IllinoisCONF | L 26–36 | -14.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 75Eastern MichiganCONF | L 7–27 | -18.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 125Bowling GreenCONF | L 6–21 | -31.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 32OhioCONF | L 28–49 | -12.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Dec 1 | @ 44South Carolina | L 3–28 | -17.8 | — | SEC Network |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 34.9% | 124th | 42.8% | 71st |
| Rushing success rate | 33.8% | 126th | 46.1% | 94th |
| Passing success rate | 35.8% | 108th | 38.5% | 39th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.9% | 98th | 17.2% | 103rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 76th | 6.9% | 8th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.50 | 126th | 3.09 | 86th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.4% | 103rd | 41.6% | 104th |
| Stuff rate | 23.2% | 119th | 19.3% | 54th |
| Sack rate | 7.8% | 106th | 4.6% | 107th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 28.6% | 130th | 39.8% | 62nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.9% | 105th | 59.6% | 51st |
| Havoc rate | 19.5% | 129th | 12.5% | 83rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 18.9 | 127th | 27.2 | 53rd |
| Yards / game | 294.4 | 127th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.43 | 126th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 199.2 | 96th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.39 | 109th | — | — |
| Completion % | 50.0% | 124th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 95.3 | 126th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 2.93 | 128th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.0% | 128th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.83 | 107th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.1 | 90th | — | — |
Players
71 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
71 players
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →