The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs South Dakota State FCS | Iowa State −28.9 · o/u 49.2 | — | ||
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 13Iowa | L 3–13 | +3.6 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 4OklahomaCONF | L 27–37 | +2.6 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 108Akron | W 26–13 | +0.4 | — | |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 51TCUCONF | L 14–17 | +1.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 35Oklahoma StateCONF | W 48–42 | +14.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 21West VirginiaCONF | W 30–14 | +22.8 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 46Texas TechCONF | W 40–31 | +9.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 98KansasCONF | W 27–3 | +19.7 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 79BaylorCONF | W 28–14 | +10.6 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 25TexasCONF | L 10–24 | -3.4 | — | LHN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 71Kansas StateCONF | W 42–38 | +1.2 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs Drake FCS | W 27–24 | -20.8 | — | |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 24Washington StateNEUTRAL | L 26–28 | +6.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.9% | 55th | 41.4% | 57th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.0% | 88th | 41.0% | 38th |
| Passing success rate | 45.0% | 34th | 41.7% | 71st |
| Explosive run rate | 15.9% | 49th | 13.6% | 46th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.2% | 12th | 9.0% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.74 | 105th | 2.72 | 24th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.4% | 93rd | 36.7% | 47th |
| Stuff rate | 21.3% | 104th | 21.6% | 34th |
| Sack rate | 7.5% | 95th | 6.8% | 38th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.4% | 49th | 44.0% | 101st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.9% | 53rd | 59.1% | 45th |
| Havoc rate | 12.5% | 61st | 14.3% | 28th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 50.1 | 6th | 22.5 | 28th |
| Yards / game | 371.0 | 96th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.61 | 62nd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 240.9 | 58th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.63 | 13th | — | — |
| Completion % | 65.3% | 18th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 130.1 | 110th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.63 | 115th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.6% | 61st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.38 | 81st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.8 | 11th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zeb Noland | QB | ||||
| 15 | Brock Purdy | QB | ||||
| 17 | Kyle Kempt | QB | ||||
| 3 | Kene Nwangwu | RB | ||||
| 6 | Rory Walling | RB | ||||
| 24 | Johnnie Lang | RB | ||||
| 25 | Sheldon Croney Jr. | RB | ||||
| 32 | David Montgomery | RB | ||||
| 8 | Deshaunte Jones | WR | ||||
| 11 | Chase Allen | WR | ||||
| 13 | Josh Johnson | WR | ||||
| 14 | Tarique Milton | WR | ||||
| 18 | Hakeem Butler | WR | ||||
| 23 | Matthew Eaton | WR | ||||
| 82 | Landen Akers | WR | ||||
| 47 | Sam Seonbuchner | TE | ||||
| 88 | Charlie Kolar | TE | ||||
| 70 | Tyler Barrett | OL | ||||
| 75 | Antione Frazier | OL | ||||
| 1 | Cordarrius Bailey | DL | ||||
| 48 | Kamilo Tongamoa | DL | ||||
| 92 | Jamahl Johnson | DL | ||||
| 3 | JaQuan Bailey | DE | ||||
| 55 | Zach Petersen | DE | ||||
| 58 | Eyioma Uwazurike | DE | ||||
| 58 | Spencer Benton | DE | ||||
| 89 | Matt Leo | DE | ||||
| 58 | Ray Lima | DT | ||||
| 2 | Willie Harvey Jr. | LB | ||||
| 9 | Reggan Northrup | LB | ||||
| 9 | Will McDonald IV | LB | ||||
| 23 | Mike Rose | LB | ||||
| 34 | O'Rien Vance | LB | ||||
| 35 | Jake Hummel | LB | ||||
| 40 | Jared Gescheidler | LB | ||||
| 42 | Marcel Spears Jr. | LB | ||||
| 0 | Chima Azunna | DB | ||||
| 2 | Keontae Jones | DB | ||||
| 5 | Datrone Young | DB | ||||
| 6 | De'Monte Ruth | DB | ||||
| 9 | Wayne Jones | DB | ||||
| 17 | Richard Bowens III | DB | ||||
| 33 | Braxton Lewis | DB | ||||
| 10 | Brian Peavy | CB | ||||
| 12 | Greg Eisworth II | S | ||||
| 85 | Tory Spears | S | ||||
| 38 | Peyton Paddock | PK | ||||
| 41 | Chris Francis | PK | ||||
| 96 | Connor Assalley | PK | ||||
| 13 | Corey Dunn | P | ||||
| 98 | Joe Rivera | P | ||||
| 1 | D'Andre Payne | DEF | ||||
| 89 | Dylan Soehner | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →