The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 61MarylandNEUTRAL | L 29–34 | -3.8 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 103Tulsa | W 28–21 | -4.2 | — | LHN |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 62USC | W 37–14 | +21.7 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 51TCUCONF | W 31–16 | +15.0 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 71Kansas StateCONF | W 19–14 | +7.2 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 4OklahomaCONFNEUTRAL | W 48–45 | +18.0 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 79BaylorCONF | W 23–17 | +2.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 35Oklahoma StateCONF | L 35–38 | +5.0 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 21West VirginiaCONF | L 41–42 | +5.8 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 46Texas TechCONF | W 41–34 | +12.8 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 36Iowa StateCONF | W 24–10 | +16.7 | — | LHN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 98KansasCONF | W 24–17 | +2.7 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 4OklahomaNEUTRAL | L 27–39 | +3.0 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 3GeorgiaNEUTRAL | W 28–21 | +24.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.0% | 34th | 45.3% | 97th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.2% | 54th | 47.6% | 107th |
| Passing success rate | 47.0% | 19th | 43.2% | 86th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.9% | 117th | 12.6% | 34th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.4% | 34th | 9.8% | 47th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.04 | 59th | 2.82 | 35th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.5% | 75th | 40.0% | 95th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 60th | 21.7% | 32nd |
| Sack rate | 4.7% | 35th | 5.1% | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.5% | 20th | 46.1% | 113th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.0% | 52nd | 59.2% | 46th |
| Havoc rate | 9.7% | 16th | 12.2% | 96th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 41.5 | 22nd | 36.7 | 99th |
| Yards / game | 411.3 | 58th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.37 | 78th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 258.2 | 35th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.59 | 59th | — | — |
| Completion % | 65.1% | 21st | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 153.1 | 91st | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.77 | 104th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.1% | 19th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 54th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.9 | 99th | — | — |
46 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shane Buechele | QB | ||||
| 11 | Sam Ehlinger | QB | ||||
| 5 | Tre Watson | RB | ||||
| 26 | Keaontay Ingram | RB | ||||
| 32 | Daniel Young | RB | ||||
| 1 | John Burt | WR | ||||
| 6 | Devin Duvernay | WR | ||||
| 9 | Collin Johnson | WR | ||||
| 13 | Jerrod Heard | WR | ||||
| 14 | Joshua Moore | WR | ||||
| 21 | Kyle Porter | WR | ||||
| 39 | Montrell Estell | WR | ||||
| 82 | Brennan Eagles | WR | ||||
| 84 | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | ||||
| 47 | Andrew Beck | TE | ||||
| 80 | Cade Brewer | TE | ||||
| 85 | Malcolm Epps | TE | ||||
| 52 | Sam Cosmi | OL | ||||
| 49 | Ta'Quon Graham | DL | ||||
| 97 | Chris Nelson | DL | ||||
| 90 | Charles Omenihu | DE | ||||
| 94 | Gerald Wilbon | DT | ||||
| 33 | Gary Johnson | LB | ||||
| 35 | Russell Hine | LB | ||||
| 44 | Breckyn Hager | LB | ||||
| 45 | Anthony Wheeler | LB | ||||
| 46 | Marqez Bimage | LB | ||||
| 46 | Joseph Ossai | LB | ||||
| 7 | Caden Sterns | DB | ||||
| 11 | P.J. Locke | DB | ||||
| 15 | Chris Brown | DB | ||||
| 24 | Jarmarquis Durst | DB | ||||
| 25 | B.J. Foster | DB | ||||
| 38 | Kobe Boyce | DB | ||||
| 2 | Kris Boyd | CB | ||||
| 9 | Josh Thompson | CB | ||||
| 17 | D'Shawn Jamison | CB | ||||
| 18 | Davante Davis | CB | ||||
| 0 | Jalen Green | S | ||||
| 8 | Donovan Duvernay | S | ||||
| 11 | Anthony Cook | S | ||||
| 17 | Cameron Dicker | PK | ||||
| 8 | Ryan Bujcevski | P | ||||
| 19 | Brandon Jones | DEF | ||||
| 23 | Jeffrey McCulloch | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →