Pac-12 · 2018 · Final

USC Trojans 2018

5-74-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#62
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+1.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.4
69th in FBS
Defense
+1.6
52nd in FBS
Schedule
+1.3
45th toughest
Preseason
+4.5
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+1.2 now, +4.5 preseason · down 41 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#62

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vs107UNLVW 43–21+9.8—PACN
2Sep 8@33StanfordCONFL 3–17-5.8—FOX
3Sep 15@25TexasL 14–37-12.4—FOX
4Sep 21vs24Washington StateCONFW 39–36+9.3—ESPN
5Sep 29@80ArizonaCONFW 24–20+5.2—ESPN2
6—Bye
7Oct 13vs86ColoradoCONFW 31–20+5.8—FS1
8Oct 20@27UtahCONFL 28–41-2.8—PACN
9Oct 27vs49Arizona StateCONFL 35–38-2.3—ABC
10Nov 3@118Oregon StateCONFW 38–21+6.3—FS1
11Nov 10vs78CaliforniaCONFL 14–15-4.3—ESPN
12Nov 17@91UCLACONFL 27–34-8.4—FOX
13Nov 24vs6Notre DameL 17–24+4.5—ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.3%79th38.6%25th
Rushing success rate43.3%86th37.9%19th
Passing success rate41.4%63rd39.2%49th
Explosive run rate13.1%89th11.2%16th
Explosive pass rate12.4%34th10.5%62nd
Line yards / carry2.9871st2.6923rd
Opportunity rate37.5%75th35.3%29th
Stuff rate18.6%63rd23.2%14th
Sack rate5.8%57th6.5%45th
3rd-down conversion38.9%86th40.3%68th
Red-zone TD rate54.5%114th67.7%86th
Havoc rate12.3%55th12.7%71st
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.199th26.547th
Yards / game382.684th——
Yards / play5.5964th——
Pass yards / game249.149th——
Yards / pass att.7.4369th——
Completion %60.7%52nd——
Rush yards / game133.5107th——
Yards / carry4.0987th——
3rd-down conv. %37.1%87th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2568th——
Penalty yards / game73.6123rd——

Players

54 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

54 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →