Pac-12 · 2018 · Final

California Golden Bears 2018

7-64-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#78
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-0.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.2
115th in FBS
Defense
+5.4
24th in FBS
Schedule
-1.0
62nd toughest
Preseason
-0.6
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-0.8 now, -0.6 preseason · down 8 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#78

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vs95North CarolinaW 24–17-0.9—FOX
2Sep 8@57BYUW 21–18+7.4—ESPN2
3Sep 15vsIdaho State FCSW 45–23-1.8—PACN
4—Bye
5Sep 29vs42OregonCONFL 24–42-16.3—FS1
6Oct 6@80ArizonaCONFL 17–24-5.8—FS1
7Oct 13vs91UCLACONFL 7–37-32.5—PACN
8Oct 20@118Oregon StateCONFW 49–7+19.6—PACN
9Oct 27vs18WashingtonCONFW 12–10+9.4—FS1
10Nov 3@24Washington StateCONFL 13–19+5.3—ESPN
11Nov 10@62USCCONFW 15–14+4.7—ESPN
12Nov 17vs33StanfordCONFStanford −4.0 · o/u 41.2—39%PACN
13Nov 24vs86ColoradoCONFW 33–21+6.8—PACN
14Dec 1vs33StanfordCONFL 13–23-6.8—PACN
BowlsDec 26vs51TCUNEUTRALL 7–10-0.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.2%106th37.7%16th
Rushing success rate41.0%98th40.9%37th
Passing success rate37.4%99th34.2%6th
Explosive run rate14.0%79th9.2%3rd
Explosive pass rate7.1%123rd8.5%18th
Line yards / carry3.1049th2.9051st
Opportunity rate39.1%62nd37.3%58th
Stuff rate18.5%60th16.9%90th
Sack rate7.1%88th6.9%35th
3rd-down conversion37.9%97th37.9%45th
Red-zone TD rate48.6%127th54.8%26th
Havoc rate15.0%102nd13.8%39th
Box score · season totals
Points / game21.7119th20.415th
Yards / game343.5115th——
Yards / play4.72119th——
Pass yards / game186.2102nd——
Yards / pass att.5.72124th——
Completion %60.0%59th——
Rush yards / game157.381st——
Yards / carry4.2078th——
3rd-down conv. %35.0%107th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.77106th——
Penalty yards / game50.153rd——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →