Final TDC rank
#33
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+5.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
40th in FBS
Defense
+3.8
33rd in FBS
Schedule
+0.8
49th toughest
Preseason
+4.8
rating going in
2018 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+5.7 now, +4.8 preseason · down 15 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 87San Diego State | W 31–10 | +15.7 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 62USCCONF | W 17–3 | +12.7 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs UC Davis FCS | W 30–10 | -3.8 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 42OregonCONF | W 38–31 | +13.6 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 6Notre Dame | L 17–38 | -4.6 | — | NBC |
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 27UtahCONF | L 21–40 | -13.8 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 49Arizona StateCONF | W 20–13 | +12.6 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 24Washington StateCONF | L 38–41 | +3.3 | — | PACN |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 18WashingtonCONF | L 23–27 | +8.4 | — | PACN |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 118Oregon StateCONF | W 48–17 | +10.8 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 78CaliforniaCONF | Stanford −4.0 · o/u 41.2 | — | PACN | |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 91UCLACONF | W 49–42 | +5.6 | — | PACN |
| 14 | Dec 1 | @78CaliforniaCONF | W 23–13 | +11.6 | — | PACN |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 47PittsburghNEUTRAL | W 14–13 | +4.2 | — | CBS |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.2% | 68th | 43.0% | 79th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.1% | 123rd | 42.0% | 50th |
| Passing success rate | 48.7% | 15th | 43.9% | 93rd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 94th | 12.3% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.0% | 14th | 9.0% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.61 | 116th | 3.10 | 87th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.7% | 114th | 37.4% | 61st |
| Stuff rate | 23.7% | 120th | 16.9% | 90th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 39th | 6.9% | 35th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.4% | 36th | 39.0% | 54th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.0% | 61st | 52.2% | 14th |
| Havoc rate | 13.3% | 82nd | 11.8% | 102nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.4 | 81st | 22.9 | 30th |
| Yards / game | 381.0 | 85th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.95 | 38th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 273.1 | 25th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.37 | 17th | — | — |
| Completion % | 63.9% | 29th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 107.9 | 123rd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.65 | 110th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.4% | 63rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 44th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.1 | 18th | — | — |
Players
64 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
64 players
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →