The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Weber State FCS | W 41–10 | +2.7 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 82Northern Illinois | W 17–6 | +11.2 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 18WashingtonCONF | L 7–21 | -6.6 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 24Washington StateCONF | L 24–28 | +7.3 | — | PACN |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 33StanfordCONF | W 40–21 | +27.2 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 80ArizonaCONF | W 42–10 | +23.0 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 62USCCONF | W 41–28 | +11.7 | — | PACN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 91UCLACONF | W 41–10 | +25.0 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 3 | @ 49Arizona StateCONF | L 20–38 | -12.4 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 42OregonCONF | W 32–25 | +8.7 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 86ColoradoCONF | W 30–7 | +22.8 | — | PACN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 57BYU | W 35–27 | +7.5 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 18WashingtonNEUTRAL | L 3–10 | +2.9 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 40NorthwesternNEUTRAL | L 20–31 | -6.4 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.7% | 44th | 36.2% | 12th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.8% | 61st | 34.8% | 7th |
| Passing success rate | 44.5% | 39th | 37.6% | 32nd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 75th | 11.0% | 14th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.5% | 94th | 9.6% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 48th | 2.49 | 6th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.0% | 42nd | 32.4% | 11th |
| Stuff rate | 18.4% | 56th | 26.7% | 3rd |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 80th | 7.1% | 31st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.7% | 87th | 35.9% | 22nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.2% | 81st | 58.8% | 44th |
| Havoc rate | 12.9% | 70th | 16.0% | 8th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.1 | 83rd | 19.4 | 11th |
| Yards / game | 395.8 | 72nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.52 | 69th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 215.8 | 79th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.40 | 72nd | — | — |
| Completion % | 61.5% | 45th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 180.0 | 53rd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.48 | 57th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.7% | 78th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.29 | 73rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.9 | 40th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Huntley | QB | ||||
| 12 | Drew Lisk | QB | ||||
| 15 | Jason Shelley | QB | ||||
| 2 | Zack Moss | RB | ||||
| 4 | T.J. Green | RB | ||||
| 6 | Armand Shyne | RB | ||||
| 22 | Devin Brumfield | RB | ||||
| 27 | Mason Woodward | RB | ||||
| 32 | Joey Wood | RB | ||||
| 7 | Demari Simpkins | WR | ||||
| 8 | Siaosi Mariner | WR | ||||
| 10 | Jameson Field | WR | ||||
| 17 | Derrick Vickers | WR | ||||
| 18 | Britain Covey | WR | ||||
| 19 | Bryan Thompson | WR | ||||
| 21 | Solomon Enis | WR | ||||
| 25 | Jaylen Dixon | WR | ||||
| 44 | Jake Jackson | WR | ||||
| 45 | Samson Nacua | WR | ||||
| 46 | Connor Haller | TE | ||||
| 80 | Brant Kuithe | TE | ||||
| 87 | Caleb Repp | TE | ||||
| 89 | Cole Fotheringham | TE | ||||
| 60 | Andre Dillard | OT | ||||
| 50 | Orlando Umana | C | ||||
| 6 | Bradlee Anae | DE | ||||
| 96 | Nick Heninger | DE | ||||
| 52 | John Penisini | DT | ||||
| 91 | Jackson Cravens | DT | ||||
| 0 | Devin Lloyd | LB | ||||
| 3 | Donavan Thompson | LB | ||||
| 22 | Chase Hansen | LB | ||||
| 30 | Cody Barton | LB | ||||
| 36 | Francis Bernard | LB | ||||
| 42 | Mika Tafua | LB | ||||
| 53 | Auston Tesch | LB | ||||
| 5 | Tareke Lewis | DB | ||||
| 9 | Bronson Boyd | DB | ||||
| 14 | Josh Nurse | DB | ||||
| 15 | Corrion Ballard | DB | ||||
| 1 | Jaylon Johnson | CB | ||||
| 7 | Tre' Strong | CB | ||||
| 12 | Nygel King | CB | ||||
| 28 | Javelin Guidry | CB | ||||
| 7 | Trey Hoskins | S | ||||
| 9 | Vonte Davis | S | ||||
| 11 | R.J. Hubert | S | ||||
| 13 | Marquise Blair | S | ||||
| 23 | Julian Blackmon | S | ||||
| 26 | Terrell Burgess | S | ||||
| 97 | Matt Gay | PK | ||||
| 33 | Mitch Wishnowsky | P | ||||
| 41 | Hauati Pututau | DEF | ||||
| 49 | Pita Tonga | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →