
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 13Iowa | L 7–33 | -11.1 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 27Utah | L 6–17 | -5.8 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 122Central MichiganCONF | W 24–16 | -7.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 89Florida State | L 19–37 | -18.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 75Eastern MichiganCONF | W 26–23 | +5.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 113Ball StateCONF | W 24–16 | -0.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 32OhioCONF | W 24–21 | +6.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 57BYU | W 7–6 | +5.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 108AkronCONF | W 36–26 | +2.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 58ToledoCONF | W 38–15 | +22.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 74Miami (OH)CONF | L 7–13 | -9.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 20 | @ 93Western MichiganCONF | L 21–28 | -9.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 52BuffaloNEUTRAL | W 30–29 | +3.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 55UABNEUTRAL | L 13–37 | -21.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.3% | 99th | 36.8% | 13th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.2% | 72nd | 33.6% | 4th |
| Passing success rate | 35.5% | 110th | 39.9% | 55th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.5% | 86th | 10.4% | 9th |
| Explosive pass rate | 5.6% | 127th | 10.0% | 52nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.16 | 35th | 2.54 | 11th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.8% | 63rd | 31.5% | 8th |
| Stuff rate | 14.4% | 12th | 20.1% | 46th |
| Sack rate | 8.6% | 114th | 8.8% | 10th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.4% | 101st | 39.7% | 61st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.8% | 84th | 52.3% | 16th |
| Havoc rate | 13.0% | 72nd | 14.2% | 31st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.1 | 124th | 22.6 | 29th |
| Yards / game | 322.3 | 124th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.33 | 127th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 155.4 | 120th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.42 | 127th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.9% | 73rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 166.9 | 70th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.92 | 95th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.7% | 104th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.07 | 119th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.1 | 91st | — | — |
48 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Anthony Thompson | QB | ||||
| 15 | Marcus Childers | QB | ||||
| 1 | Jaden Huff | RB | ||||
| 21 | Marcus Jones | RB | ||||
| 22 | Tre Harbison | RB | ||||
| 28 | Jordan Nettles | RB | ||||
| 6 | Rodney Hall | WR | ||||
| 9 | Jauan Wesley | WR | ||||
| 10 | D.J. Brown | WR | ||||
| 13 | Leon Payne | WR | ||||
| 14 | Spencer Tears | WR | ||||
| 17 | Dennis Robinson | WR | ||||
| 18 | Cole Tucker | WR | ||||
| 82 | Fotis Kokosioulis | WR | ||||
| 89 | Mitchell Brinkman | WR | ||||
| 44 | Corey Lersch | TE | ||||
| 84 | Ty Harmston | TE | ||||
| 41 | Matt Lorbeck | DL | ||||
| 96 | Jack Heflin | DL | ||||
| 99 | Weston Kramer | DL | ||||
| 5 | Michael Kennedy | DE | ||||
| 12 | Josh Corcoran | DE | ||||
| 25 | Cortez Hogans | DE | ||||
| 93 | Quintin Wynne | DE | ||||
| 96 | Marcus Kelly | DT | ||||
| 15 | Sutton Smith | LB | ||||
| 18 | Kewan Parker | LB | ||||
| 42 | Andrew Gregory | LB | ||||
| 45 | Jordan Cole | LB | ||||
| 48 | Antonio Jones-Davis | LB | ||||
| 50 | Vinny Labus | LB | ||||
| 57 | Rayshawn Gay | LB | ||||
| 9 | Dillon Thomas | DB | ||||
| 26 | Antwain Walker | DB | ||||
| 49 | Jalen McKie | DB | ||||
| 1 | Albert Smalls | CB | ||||
| 7 | Tifonte Hunt | CB | ||||
| 12 | Devin Haney | CB | ||||
| 20 | Zhamaine March | CB | ||||
| 11 | Trayshon Foster | S | ||||
| 24 | Trequan Smith | S | ||||
| 29 | Adam Buirge | S | ||||
| 2 | Andrew Gantz | PK | ||||
| 36 | Matt Ference | P | ||||
| 3 | Jalen Embry | DEF | ||||
| 8 | Mykelti Williams | DEF | ||||
| 57 | Kyle Pugh | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →