The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Savannah State FCS | W 52–0 | +10.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 8 | @ 106Coastal Carolina | L 24–47 | -30.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 81Tulane | W 31–24 | +2.5 | — | |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 102CharlotteCONF | W 28–7 | +9.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 90Louisiana TechCONF | W 28–7 | +20.0 | — | |
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 128RiceCONF | W 42–0 | +14.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 65North TexasCONF | W 29–21 | +6.6 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 130UTEPCONF | W 19–0 | +1.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 126UTSACONF | W 52–3 | +15.7 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 85Southern MississippiCONF | W 26–23 | -2.2 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 16Texas A&M | L 20–41 | -8.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 70Middle TennesseeCONF | L 3–27 | -21.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 14 | Dec 1 | @ 70Middle Tennessee | W 27–25 | +4.3 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 82Northern IllinoisNEUTRAL | W 37–13 | +21.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.9% | 55th | 35.4% | 6th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.8% | 44th | 35.3% | 10th |
| Passing success rate | 41.0% | 75th | 35.5% | 19th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.3% | 44th | 15.6% | 72nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.8% | 16th | 10.7% | 69th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 30th | 2.38 | 2nd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.5% | 51st | 30.8% | 5th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 60th | 23.1% | 15th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 47th | 10.1% | 4th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.4% | 28th | 27.6% | 3rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.4% | 86th | 50.0% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 54th | 16.8% | 4th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.9 | 75th | 21.6 | 22nd |
| Yards / game | 405.7 | 65th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.76 | 55th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 204.4 | 94th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.42 | 16th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.2% | 97th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 201.3 | 34th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.52 | 54th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.7% | 24th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.64 | 31st | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 72.5 | 122nd | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →