MAC · 2018 · Final

Buffalo Bulls 2018

10-47-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#52
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+2.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.4
31st in FBS
Defense
-1.1
75th in FBS
Schedule
-4.9
108th toughest
Preseason
-0.3
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.3 now, -0.3 preseason · up 16 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#52

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vsDelaware State FCSW 48–10+5.1—ESPN3
2Sep 8@56TempleW 36–29+11.4—ESPN3
3Sep 15vs75Eastern MichiganCONFW 35–28+4.1—ESPN+
4Sep 22@110RutgersW 42–13+17.5—BTN
5Sep 29vs30ArmyL 13–42-22.0—CBSSN
6Oct 6@122Central MichiganCONFW 34–24-0.8—CBSSN
7Oct 13vs108AkronCONFW 24–6+5.4—CBSSN
8Oct 20@58ToledoCONFW 31–17+18.1—ESPN+
9—Bye
10Oct 30vs74Miami (OH)CONFW 51–42+6.0—ESPN2
11Nov 6vs124Kent StateCONFW 48–14+11.5—ESPNU
12Nov 14@32OhioCONFL 17–52-19.7—ESPN2
13Nov 23@125Bowling GreenCONFW 44–14+14.2—ESPNU
14Nov 30vs82Northern IllinoisNEUTRALL 29–30-3.2—ESPN2
BowlsDec 22vs50TroyNEUTRALL 32–42-7.3—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate45.3%40th39.8%38th
Rushing success rate48.4%26th44.5%76th
Passing success rate41.6%61st34.9%14th
Explosive run rate14.3%74th14.2%54th
Explosive pass rate12.8%27th10.6%66th
Line yards / carry3.0655th3.0481st
Opportunity rate37.9%74th36.7%47th
Stuff rate17.7%47th15.6%109th
Sack rate3.5%13th8.2%15th
3rd-down conversion45.1%32nd37.7%42nd
Red-zone TD rate69.6%31st72.4%106th
Havoc rate11.9%47th13.4%50th
Box score · season totals
Points / game34.650th25.539th
Yards / game414.556th——
Yards / play5.6959th——
Pass yards / game225.474th——
Yards / pass att.7.5361st——
Completion %54.9%105th——
Rush yards / game189.147th——
Yards / carry4.5353rd——
3rd-down conv. %42.4%37th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0711th——
Penalty yards / game40.413th——

Players

74 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

74 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →