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ACC · 2026

Stanford Cardinal

Head coach Tavita Pritchard · Stanford Stadium
4-52-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#100
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-9.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-5.0
103rd in FBS
Defense
-4.8
103rd in FBS
Schedule so far
+5.6
15th toughest
Projected
4.5-7.5
bowl-eligible 8%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-9.9 now, -5.1 preseason · down 17 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#100

Final record odds

4.5-7.5 expected · most likely 4-8 (54%)
54%4-838%5-77%6-6

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Davis Warren
QB · 12th in FBS
2203yds
14 TD · 3 INT
Rushing
Micah Ford
RB · JR · 20th in FBS
751yds
156 car · 8 TD
Receiving
Caden High
WR · SR · 125th in FBS
419yds
33 rec · 4 TD
Tackles
Jay Green
S · SR · 119th in FBS
56tkl
3 TFL
Sacks
Gabe Kaminski
LB · FR · 309th in FBS
2sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Darrius Davis
S · JR · 145th in FBS
1INT
3 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vs109Hawai'iW 37–27 ›-5.2—ACC Network
1Sep 4vs3MiamiCONFL 6–45 ›-8.2—ESPN
2—Bye
3Sep 19@39DukeCONFL 7–35 ›-13.9—CW
4Sep 26vs78Georgia TechCONFW 34–27 ›+1.0—ESPN
5Oct 3@14Wake ForestCONFL 3–57 ›-14.6—ACC Network
6Oct 10@1Notre DameL 7–58 ›-2.8—NBC
7Oct 17vsElon FCSW 34–7 ›-6.4—ACCNX
8Oct 23vs67NC StateCONFW 31–28 ›+1.2—ESPN
9Oct 31@15LouisvilleCONFL 24–52 ›-5.5—ACC Network
10—Bye
11Nov 14@49Virginia TechCONFVirginia Tech −19.2 · o/u 56.5—10%
12Nov 21@93CaliforniaCONFCalifornia −6.9 · o/u 55.7—32%
13Nov 28vs29SMUCONFSMU −18.1 · o/u 55.3—11%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.15358th+0.329136th
Success rate38.9%115th48.5%132nd
Explosiveness1.31933rd1.361122nd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.1%122nd48.7%132nd
Rushing success rate37.7%120th53.6%138th
Passing success rate38.4%104th44.3%111th
Explosive run rate10.1%122nd18.5%134th
Explosive pass rate10.2%70th9.7%69th
Line yards / carry2.87112th3.45129th
Opportunity rate32.2%131st45.5%135th
Stuff rate20.1%106th14.2%114th
Sack rate3.4%24th2.7%128th
3rd-down conversion32.6%131st49.5%130th
Red-zone TD rate65.0%53rd77.4%132nd
Havoc rate11.7%35th10.7%128th
Box score · season totals
Points / game20.3121st37.3135th
Yards / game358.791st454.4134th
Yards / play5.3198th6.62135th
Pass yards / game249.939th254.8125th
Yards / pass att.7.0090th7.77108th
Completion %60.3%97th64.1%102nd
Rush yards / game108.8125th199.7129th
Yards / carry3.60114th5.67135th
3rd-down conv. %31.2%131st50.0%133rd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.8933rd0.78119th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7862nd0.67136th
Penalty yards / game57.676th51.297th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
9.0
56th of 138
YAC per catch
4.7
113th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
13%
89th of 138
Shotgun
91%
109th of 138
No-huddle
61%
71st of 138
QB pressured
16%
33rd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
13%
89th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.8
29th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws310 throws charted

60% comp9.0 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds14–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (5%), 11 caught (73%), 66 yds, 4.4 per throw1573% · 66yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 35 throws (11%), 30 caught (86%), 188 yds, 5.4 per throw3586% · 188yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (6%), 12 caught (63%), 115 yds, 6.1 per throw1963% · 115yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 18 throws (6%), 8 caught (44%), 103 yds, 5.7 per throw1844% · 103yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 6 caught (67%), 106 yds, 11.8 per throw967% · 106yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 77 yds, 12.8 per throw650% · 77yLeft, 30+ air yards: 9 throws (3%), 3 caught (33%), 126 yds, 14.0 per throw933% · 126yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 16 yds, 16.0 per throw1100% · 16yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 8 caught (57%), 37 yds, 2.6 per throw1457% · 37yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (5%), 10 caught (63%), 101 yds, 6.3 per throw1663% · 101yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 24 throws (8%), 10 caught (42%), 162 yds, 6.8 per throw2442% · 162yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 5 caught (71%), 131 yds, 18.7 per throw771% · 131yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 75 yds, 15.0 per throw520% · 75yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 109 yds, 27.3 per throw450% · 109yRight, Behind air yards: 24 throws (8%), 19 caught (79%), 81 yds, 3.4 per throw2479% · 81yRight, 0–4 air yards: 39 throws (13%), 25 caught (64%), 176 yds, 4.5 per throw3964% · 176yRight, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (9%), 20 caught (71%), 191 yds, 6.8 per throw2871% · 191yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 4 caught (36%), 61 yds, 5.5 per throw1136% · 61yRight, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 5 caught (45%), 97 yds, 8.8 per throw1145% · 97yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 4 caught (33%), 98 yds, 8.2 per throw1233% · 98yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 30 yds, 10.0 per throw333% · 30y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on281 throws charted

64% comp8.5 avg. depth5.8 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds19–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 16 throws (6%), 14 caught (88%), 50 yds, 3.1 per throw1688% · 50yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 26 throws (9%), 20 caught (77%), 189 yds, 7.3 per throw2677% · 189yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (8%), 18 caught (78%), 168 yds, 7.3 per throw2378% · 168yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 4 caught (36%), 49 yds, 4.5 per throw1136% · 49yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 9 caught (69%), 213 yds, 16.4 per throw1369% · 213yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 15 throws (5%), 6 caught (40%), 255 yds, 17.0 per throw1540% · 255yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 14 caught (74%), 142 yds, 7.5 per throw1974% · 142yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 10 caught (91%), 104 yds, 9.5 per throw1191% · 104yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 105 yds, 9.5 per throw1164% · 105yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 82 yds, 10.3 per throw850% · 82yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 54 yds, 27.0 per throw2100% · 54yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (7%), 16 caught (80%), 88 yds, 4.4 per throw2080% · 88yRight, 0–4 air yards: 37 throws (13%), 27 caught (73%), 194 yds, 5.2 per throw3773% · 194yRight, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (10%), 13 caught (48%), 124 yds, 4.6 per throw2748% · 124yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 6 caught (50%), 104 yds, 8.7 per throw1250% · 104yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 2 caught (29%), 32 yds, 4.6 per throw729% · 32yRight, 20–29 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 3 caught (25%), 67 yds, 5.6 per throw1225% · 67yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (2%), 3 caught (43%), 135 yds, 19.3 per throw743% · 135y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction246 carries

Left
12%
6.9 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
67%
4.1 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
21%
4.2 YPC · 31% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced294 carries

Left
22%
5.7 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
57%
4.4 YPC · 44% succ.
Right
21%
9.5 YPC · 66% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tavita Pritchard

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
9Michael Mitchell Jr.QBFR5' 11"185San Francisco, CA
10Dylan RizkQBJR6' 2"225Delray Beach, FL
17Charlie MirerQBSR6' 6"235Rancho Santa Fe, CA
25Luke LevittQBSO6' 2"200Burlingame, CA
27Devin MigneryQBFR5' 10"215Sarasota, FL
5Chris Davis Jr.RBSO5' 10"195Picayune, MS
6Tuna AltahirRBSR6' 0"230Kennewick, WA
20Micah FordRBJR6' 0"220Toms River, NJ
26Sedrick IrvinRBSR5' 10"205Miami, FL
34Champ HamptonRBJR5' 10"220Ooltewah, TN
0Caden HighWRSR5' 10"165Atlanta, GA
2Zion RobinsonWRFR6' 2"180Mansfield, TX
3Marcus BrownWRSO5' 10"170Huntington Beach, CA
4Jordan OnovugheWRJR6' 2"210Pomona, CA
11JonAnthony HallWRFR6' 1"190Fishers, IN
14Dre PollardWRFR6' 1"180Las Vegas, NV
15Carter ShawWRJR6' 3"195Atherton, CA
18Langdon HoraceWRFR5' 11"180Stockton, CA
19David PantelisWRSR5' 11"200Pittsburgh, PA
22Daylen SharperWRFR6' 2"210Phoenix, AZ
23Nico BrownWRJR6' 0"185Huntington Beach, CA
80Jacob ButlerWRFR5' 9"170Baldwin, NY
82Tyler KuoWRJR6' 3"205Austin, TX
89Atticus JosephWRFR6' 0"170Snellville, GA
81Marcus MonroeTEFR6' 3"220Cary, NC
84Chico HoltTEJR6' 5"255Houston, TX
85Zach GiulianoTEFR6' 6"245Corona Del Mar, CA
87Aiden BlackTESO6' 4"240Dingmans Ferry, PA
88Benji BlackburnTEJR6' 6"260Miami, FL
50Cash BallardOLFR6' 1"280Westfield, IN
51Ziron BrownOLSO6' 3"310Waveland, MS
52Aidan KilstromOLSR6' 3"300Bettendorf, IA
53Nathan MejiaOLSR6' 3"305Arcadia, CA
55Simione PaleOLJR6' 4"320Elk Grove, CA
56Hayden GunterOLSO6' 7"300Denton, TX
58Kahlil HouseOLJR6' 5"305Warner Robins, GA
59Charlie HoitinkOLSO6' 4"300Slinger, WI
60Nick FattigOLJR6' 4"300League City, TX
63Carson CaplanOLSO6' 3"305Colorado Springs, CO
65Jay MillerOLFR6' 4"320Goodyear, AZ
66Niki ProngosOLSR6' 7"315Novato, CA
72Dara AdeyemiOLJR6' 8"300Luton, England
73Charlie SymondsOLJR6' 8"310South Kent, CT
74Fisher AndersonOLSR6' 7"315Franklin, TN
79Kai GreerOLSO6' 6"295Charlotte, NC
42Jacobi MurrayDLSO6' 1"315Conyers, GA
45Omar StaplesDLJR6' 3"270Oakland, CA
55Joe AsiainDLSO6' 3"275Edison, NJ
58Brendan DelaneyDLSO6' 5"275Montreal, Canada
75Braden Marceau-OlayinkaDLJR6' 3"300Melrose, MA
94Daniel OgiozeeDLFR6' 3"250Dallas, TX
96Connor BachhuberDLSO6' 5"275San Clemente, CA
97Zach RowellDLSR6' 3"285San Diego, CA
98Max MeierDLFR6' 4"255Pacific Palisades, CA
95Adam ShovlinDEFR6' 4"270Wilkes-barre, PA
57Kole BriehlerDTFR6' 2"280Pennington, NJ
0Jahsiah GalvanLBSR6' 2"230West Liberty, IA
2Dylan StephensonLBSO6' 4"235Miami, FL
10Sam MattinglyLBJR6' 2"235Magnolia, TX
11Tevarua TafitiLBSR6' 2"240Waipahu, HI
23Wassie LugolobiLBFR6' 1"225Seattle, WA
32Chase CahoonLBFR6' 0"215Los Gatos, CA
35Matt RoseLBSR6' 2"230Brecksville, OH
38Zach JohnsonLBJR6' 3"230Coeur d'Alene, ID
41Lucas ShanafeltLBFR6' 3"235Mcmurray, PA
43Landon McComberLBFR6' 2"235Las Vegas, NV
44Ernest CooperLBSR6' 4"250Arlington, TX
46Carter DavisLBFR6' 4"225Eagle, ID
48Drew CunninghamLBSO6' 3"245Orinda, CA
49Gabe KaminskiLBFR6' 3"235Riverside, IL
52Sarrel HowardLBFR6' 1"230Los Angeles, CA
54Preston JerneganLBSO6' 2"230Altadena, CA
88Keysaun EleazerLBFR6' 6"205Raleigh, NC
90Gavin GewenigerLBJR6' 4"240Scottsdale, AZ
22Zaiden McDonaldDBFR6' 2"195Newark, NJ
24Lonnie McAllister IIIDBSO5' 11"180Upper Marlboro, MD
29Caleb CarsonDBFR5' 11"190Atlanta, GA
33Lasiah JacksonDBFR6' 3"175Leesburg, GA
4Leroy BryantCBJR6' 0"185Fairfield, CA
8Cam RichardsonCBJR6' 2"190Irvington, NJ
9Brandon NicholsonCBJR6' 0"190Memphis, TN
18Jason Hill Jr.CBFR5' 11"160Folsom, CA
20Xavier HarmonCBFR6' 0"185Humble, TX
26Chris GarlandCBFR6' 0"180Buford, GA
28Sam Neely IIICBSO5' 11"185Charlotte, NC
30Jack DuckworthCBFR5' 10"170Rockwall, TX
31Aaron MorrisCBJR5' 11"195Lowell, MA
34Javion RandallCBSO5' 11"190Richmond, VA
3Jaylen'Dai SumlinSSO6' 2"200Castaic, CA
5Jay GreenSSR6' 3"215Houston, TX
6Darrius DavisSJR6' 0"200Metairie, LA
17Omari GainesSFR6' 2"200Newark, NJ
21Scotty EdwardsSSR6' 1"205Holladay, UT
39Charlie EckhardtSSO6' 2"205Centennial, CO
13Emmet KenneyPKSR6' 3"220Fargo, ND
19London BironasPKFR5' 10"205Nashville, TN
92AJ SeidlerPKSO6' 1"225Appleton, WI
37Aidan FlintoftPSR6' 2"210Pacific Palisades, CA
46Hamilton SharpeLSFR6' 0"215The Woodlands, TX
47Alejandro ChavezLSSR6' 2"225West Covina, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+14.8, #5) · worst: 2023 (-8.7, #113)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#93
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-52-4#100-9.9-5.0-4.8
20254-83-5#93-4.7-3.9-0.9
20243-92-6#105-6.3-3.0-3.3
20233-92-7#113-8.7-4.7-3.9
20223-91-8#100-6.3-4.6-1.7
20213-92-7#106-6.6-3.8-2.8
20204-24-2#76-1.0+0.6-1.7
20194-83-6#88-3.5-3.2-0.3
20189-46-3#33+5.7+1.9+3.8
20179-57-2#17+9.4+3.5+5.9
201610-36-3#17+9.4-0.3+9.7
201512-28-1#5+14.8+8.3+6.6
20148-55-4#16+11.3-1.8+13.1

Stanford's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →