The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | @ 77Hawai'i | L 20–23 | -2.0 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 12BYU | L 3–27 | -9.3 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 94Boston CollegeCONF | W 30–20 | +2.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 30VirginiaCONF | L 20–48 | -16.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 122San José State | W 30–29 | -13.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 20SMUCONF | L 10–34 | -11.5 | — | CW |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 43Florida StateCONF | W 20–13 | +8.6 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 6MiamiCONF | L 7–42 | -7.7 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 31PittsburghCONF | L 20–35 | -11.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 97North CarolinaCONF | L 15–20 | -8.1 | — | CW |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 82CaliforniaCONF | W 31–10 | +15.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 3Notre Dame | L 20–49 | -8.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.0% | 121st | 43.6% | 86th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.3% | 121st | 44.5% | 79th |
| Passing success rate | 35.9% | 119th | 43.0% | 93rd |
| Explosive run rate | 8.8% | 131st | 12.3% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.8% | 77th | 11.9% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.84 | 111th | 3.06 | 75th |
| Opportunity rate | 29.9% | 133rd | 37.5% | 59th |
| Stuff rate | 14.6% | 33rd | 14.8% | 106th |
| Sack rate | 10.1% | 132nd | 4.8% | 99th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.0% | 89th | 42.2% | 86th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 42.4% | 123rd | 39.6% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 14.9% | 125th | 9.0% | 126th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 19.0 | 124th | 32.0 | 108th |
| Yards / game | 306.5 | 125th | 408.2 | 105th |
| Yards / play | 4.46 | 129th | 5.77 | 104th |
| Pass yards / game | 222.0 | 73rd | 274.3 | 136th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.81 | 87th | 7.79 | 114th |
| Completion % | 57.3% | 117th | 66.1% | 119th |
| Rush yards / game | 84.5 | 132nd | 119.3 | 25th |
| Yards / carry | 2.59 | 136th | 3.76 | 45th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.7% | 90th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.42 | 130th | 1.92 | 82nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.1 | 66th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →