
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 15Alabama | W 31–17 | +22.7 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs East Texas A&M FCS | W 77–3 | +16.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 129Kent State | W 66–10 | +19.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 26 | @ 30VirginiaCONF | L 38–46 | +1.4 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 6MiamiCONF | L 22–28 | +8.6 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 31PittsburghCONF | L 31–34 | +0.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 93StanfordCONF | L 13–20 | -8.9 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 57Wake ForestCONF | W 42–7 | +27.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 36ClemsonCONF | L 10–24 | -5.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 91Virginia TechCONF | W 34–14 | +13.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 21 | @ 42NC StateCONF | L 11–21 | -2.8 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 53Florida | L 21–40 | -13.7 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.6% | 19th | 42.7% | 76th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.5% | 7th | 42.7% | 61st |
| Passing success rate | 41.5% | 62nd | 42.8% | 88th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.7% | 12th | 9.7% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.8% | 11th | 10.4% | 83rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.46 | 9th | 3.20 | 102nd |
| Opportunity rate | 43.0% | 13th | 36.2% | 40th |
| Stuff rate | 12.2% | 8th | 13.8% | 119th |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 96th | 7.1% | 24th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.3% | 28th | 41.3% | 71st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.4% | 33rd | 66.7% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 10.9% | 56th | 10.6% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.0 | 29th | 22.0 | 34th |
| Yards / game | 472.1 | 6th | 328.8 | 28th |
| Yards / play | 6.53 | 15th | 4.82 | 32nd |
| Pass yards / game | 253.4 | 40th | 173.3 | 28th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.97 | 11th | 7.02 | 60th |
| Completion % | 59.0% | 99th | 62.3% | 75th |
| Rush yards / game | 218.7 | 11th | 138.1 | 51st |
| Yards / carry | 5.19 | 18th | 3.59 | 28th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 51.3% | 5th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.58 | 105th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 75th | 2.58 | 27th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.3 | 30th | — | — |
76 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →