The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 43Florida State | L 17–31 | -6.8 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 130UL Monroe | W 73–0 | +24.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 72Wisconsin | W 38–14 | +20.6 | — | ABC |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 8GeorgiaCONF | W 24–21 | +19.7 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 11VanderbiltCONF | W 30–14 | +25.3 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 28MissouriCONF | W 27–24 | +13.2 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 25TennesseeCONF | W 37–20 | +22.2 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 51South CarolinaCONF | W 29–22 | +12.8 | — | ABC |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 39LSUCONF | W 20–9 | +13.3 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 21OklahomaCONF | L 21–23 | +4.6 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs Eastern Illinois FCS | W 56–0 | +10.4 | — | SECN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 40AuburnCONF | W 27–20 | +14.8 | — | ABC |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 8GeorgiaNEUTRAL | L 7–28 | -7.1 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | @ 21Oklahoma | W 34–24 | +22.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 1IndianaNEUTRAL | L 3–38 | -4.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.6% | 50th | 39.1% | 27th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.4% | 93rd | 40.2% | 36th |
| Passing success rate | 46.3% | 24th | 37.9% | 33rd |
| Explosive run rate | 10.0% | 126th | 12.7% | 50th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.6% | 32nd | 7.3% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.81 | 118th | 2.88 | 35th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.2% | 124th | 35.6% | 34th |
| Stuff rate | 19.5% | 108th | 18.3% | 51st |
| Sack rate | 5.3% | 70th | 7.2% | 20th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.6% | 61st | 36.9% | 35th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.0% | 14th | 54.1% | 48th |
| Havoc rate | 9.8% | 25th | 13.9% | 20th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.7 | 41st | 19.2 | 17th |
| Yards / game | 367.7 | 84th | 296.8 | 13th |
| Yards / play | 5.40 | 76th | 4.75 | 23rd |
| Pass yards / game | 263.5 | 29th | 154.1 | 9th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.56 | 53rd | 6.44 | 29th |
| Completion % | 65.6% | 35th | 62.1% | 72nd |
| Rush yards / game | 104.1 | 125th | 126.9 | 37th |
| Yards / carry | 3.35 | 126th | 3.74 | 42nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 49th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.87 | 15th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.13 | 89th | 2.20 | 55th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.7 | 17th | — | — |
79 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →