The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 70Baylor | W 38–24 | +16.7 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 132Ball State | W 42–3 | +12.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 107South Alabama | W 31–15 | +6.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 21OklahomaCONF | L 17–24 | +5.2 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 10Texas A&MCONF | L 10–16 | +9.7 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 8GeorgiaCONF | L 10–20 | +1.1 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 28MissouriCONF | L 17–23 | -1.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 55ArkansasCONF | W 33–24 | +14.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 66KentuckyCONF | L 3–10 | -9.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 11VanderbiltCONF | L 38–45 | +7.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs Mercer FCS | W 62–17 | +6.5 | — | SECN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 15AlabamaCONF | L 20–27 | +1.7 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.9% | 47th | 39.1% | 27th |
| Rushing success rate | 49.3% | 15th | 33.0% | 5th |
| Passing success rate | 40.4% | 77th | 44.7% | 112th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.7% | 23rd | 10.2% | 14th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.6% | 130th | 10.2% | 77th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.35 | 19th | 2.32 | 3rd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 16th | 27.6% | 3rd |
| Stuff rate | 13.6% | 17th | 24.7% | 5th |
| Sack rate | 9.5% | 130th | 6.4% | 36th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.5% | 76th | 40.0% | 60th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.8% | 94th | 55.6% | 57th |
| Havoc rate | 13.3% | 112th | 12.7% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.8 | 83rd | 23.3 | 46th |
| Yards / game | 373.9 | 79th | 329.2 | 29th |
| Yards / play | 5.23 | 92nd | 4.77 | 25th |
| Pass yards / game | 197.1 | 99th | 214.2 | 85th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.53 | 103rd | 7.24 | 77th |
| Completion % | 61.0% | 81st | 62.5% | 77th |
| Rush yards / game | 176.8 | 43rd | 99.3 | 10th |
| Yards / carry | 4.67 | 41st | 2.86 | 6th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.2% | 75th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.67 | 4th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.50 | 132nd | 2.50 | 31st |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.7 | 115th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →