The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Charleston Southern FCS | W 45–3 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 91Virginia Tech | W 44–20 | +22.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 51South CarolinaCONF | W 31–7 | +29.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 131Georgia State | W 70–21 | +16.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 79Utah State | W 55–35 | +14.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 15AlabamaCONF | L 14–30 | -1.7 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 39LSUCONF | W 31–24 | +9.3 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 28MissouriCONF | W 17–10 | +11.6 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 16TexasCONF | L 31–34 | +10.6 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 40AuburnCONF | W 45–38 | +9.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 66KentuckyCONF | W 45–17 | +23.1 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 25TennesseeCONF | W 45–24 | +31.8 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 14IowaNEUTRAL | L 27–34 | +4.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 53.3% | 1st | 42.5% | 75th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.1% | 9th | 42.1% | 57th |
| Passing success rate | 54.3% | 3rd | 42.9% | 92nd |
| Explosive run rate | 19.3% | 3rd | 14.6% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.5% | 21st | 7.9% | 21st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.42 | 12th | 2.97 | 55th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.6% | 29th | 39.1% | 87th |
| Stuff rate | 15.1% | 39th | 18.5% | 49th |
| Sack rate | 5.8% | 86th | 5.4% | 76th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 54.7% | 2nd | 46.4% | 117th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 74.5% | 6th | 54.5% | 51st |
| Havoc rate | 10.8% | 52nd | 11.8% | 72nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.5 | 15th | 22.9 | 38th |
| Yards / game | 462.9 | 9th | 357.5 | 58th |
| Yards / play | 7.25 | 1st | 5.34 | 61st |
| Pass yards / game | 287.3 | 10th | 230.9 | 113th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.34 | 5th | 7.08 | 66th |
| Completion % | 69.8% | 7th | 66.6% | 124th |
| Rush yards / game | 175.5 | 47th | 108.1 | 18th |
| Yards / carry | 5.62 | 6th | 3.68 | 34th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 51.1% | 6th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 18th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 66th | 2.38 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.9 | 102nd | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →