The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 33Toledo | W 24–16 | +11.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 9Ole MissCONF | L 23–30 | +3.9 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 117Eastern Michigan | W 48–23 | +11.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 51South CarolinaCONF | L 13–35 | -16.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 8GeorgiaCONF | L 14–35 | -4.3 | — | ABC |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 16TexasCONF | L 13–16 | +5.0 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 25TennesseeCONF | L 34–56 | -16.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 40AuburnCONF | W 10–3 | +14.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 53FloridaCONF | W 38–7 | +26.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs Tennessee Tech FCS | W 42–10 | +2.0 | — | SECN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 11VanderbiltCONF | L 17–45 | -10.5 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 24Louisville | L 0–41 | -19.2 | — | ACC Network |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.5% | 56th | 45.3% | 106th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.6% | 34th | 45.0% | 87th |
| Passing success rate | 39.3% | 94th | 45.6% | 119th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.1% | 122nd | 12.2% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.7% | 117th | 11.0% | 98th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 40th | 3.04 | 72nd |
| Opportunity rate | 41.3% | 34th | 39.5% | 91st |
| Stuff rate | 14.4% | 30th | 18.2% | 54th |
| Sack rate | 7.1% | 110th | 6.4% | 36th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.3% | 55th | 42.1% | 85th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.0% | 44th | 55.3% | 55th |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 12.6% | 49th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.0 | 106th | 26.4 | 65th |
| Yards / game | 341.1 | 105th | 374.2 | 67th |
| Yards / play | 4.94 | 111th | 5.46 | 72nd |
| Pass yards / game | 201.9 | 96th | 225.2 | 104th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.58 | 98th | 8.04 | 117th |
| Completion % | 62.2% | 67th | 61.7% | 67th |
| Rush yards / game | 139.2 | 86th | 134.3 | 45th |
| Yards / carry | 3.87 | 100th | 3.66 | 31st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.3% | 64th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 126th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 104th | 2.08 | 64th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.0 | 22nd | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →