The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 81Marshall | W 45–7 | +23.6 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Austin Peay FCS | W 28–6 | -2.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 25TennesseeCONF | W 44–41 | +13.8 | — | ABC |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 15AlabamaCONF | L 21–24 | +5.7 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 66KentuckyCONF | W 35–14 | +18.7 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 40AuburnCONF | W 20–10 | +17.8 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 9Ole MissCONF | W 43–35 | +18.9 | — | ABC |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 53FloridaCONFNEUTRAL | W 24–20 | +6.5 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 71Mississippi StateCONF | W 41–21 | +22.7 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 16TexasCONF | W 35–10 | +32.4 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 135Charlotte | W 35–3 | +6.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 38Georgia TechNEUTRAL | W 16–9 | +12.1 | — | ABC |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 15AlabamaNEUTRAL | W 28–7 | +32.5 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 9Ole MissNEUTRAL | L 34–39 | +8.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.0% | 16th | 40.9% | 56th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.7% | 25th | 40.3% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 49.4% | 10th | 41.5% | 71st |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 101st | 6.9% | 2nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 49th | 8.1% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.09 | 59th | 2.64 | 11th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.9% | 25th | 31.1% | 9th |
| Stuff rate | 19.9% | 113th | 18.9% | 40th |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 51st | 3.7% | 123rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.2% | 22nd | 38.1% | 48th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 80.0% | 2nd | 63.0% | 104th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 77th | 11.4% | 77th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.1 | 37th | 17.4 | 7th |
| Yards / game | 402.4 | 51st | 298.0 | 14th |
| Yards / play | 5.54 | 66th | 4.81 | 30th |
| Pass yards / game | 220.2 | 78th | 207.2 | 68th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.39 | 61st | 6.60 | 42nd |
| Completion % | 68.8% | 10th | 60.8% | 55th |
| Rush yards / game | 182.1 | 35th | 81.5 | 4th |
| Yards / carry | 4.40 | 64th | 2.94 | 7th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.0% | 32nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.93 | 22nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.43 | 28th | 1.43 | 117th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.5 | 26th | — | — |
74 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →